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Thursday, August 31 ESPN.com | ||||||||||||||||
Raiders (5-4) at Broncos (3-7) Ron Jaworski's Monday night breakdown Inside the Playbook: Raiders' bunch route
Why to watch: The Broncos have split their last four games, but both losses have come by a field goal, and one of the victories was a one-point win. The Raiders have won three of four since that early October loss to Denver, including an impressive 28-9 thumping of the Chargers last week in Oakland. Although Denver is virtually out of the playoff hunt, the Broncos could be a spoiler in the AFC West, and they nearly beat the first-place Seahawks last week behind resurgent QB Chris Miller. You can bet that Mike Shanahan would like nothing better than to deal Al Davis' team another crushing blow in the postseason race. And Denver fans will bring their usual intensity when the Silver and Black is in town.
Who to watch: Raiders WR Tim Brown, who ranks second in the AFC with 60 catches and third with 832 receiving yards, will be matched up with Broncos CB Dale Carter. Of course, Brown will also see his share of double teams, giving Raiders WR James Jett the opportunity to make some plays against struggling Broncos CB Ray Crockett. Broncos WR Rod Smith caught seven passes for 79 yards and a TD in the first meeting, while fellow wideout Ed McCaffrey had five catches for 88 yards. Broncos RB Olandis Gary has rushed for 530 yards in six games, but he was held to 64 yards on 20 carries in the game at Oakland. Raiders DTs Darrell Russell and Russell Maryland will try to slow the Denver ground game again. Miller, who threw his first two TD passes since 1995 and hit 14 straight passes at one point last week at Seattle, will make his third consecutive start. He has completed 63 percent of his passes. Brian Griese, who's on the mend from a shoulder injury, should be able to serve as Miller's backup.
Raiders' numbers to know:
Broncos' numbers to know:
What it means: As for the Broncos, they're still talking about running the table and possibly sneaking into the playoffs with a 9-7 record. Because that's highly unlikely, Denver is really playing for pride. And there's no way the two-time Super Bowl champs want to lose to their most-hated rivals in front of a national TV audience.
Sean Salisbury's breakdown Oakland needs to keep Gannon moving. He can throw from the pocket, but the Broncos will try to change his aiming point. When Gannon is running play-action, or quarterback draw, or having him sprint out or running misdirection on a naked bootleg, he is so good at throwing while running to his left or his right. He is adept at both. I think the Raiders will also pound the ball with Wheatley and try to wear out the Broncos up front.
The Broncos have not played well against the run this year or tackled well. While running the ball with Wheatley, the Raiders will use a lot of different formations, giving the Broncos a taste of their own medicine. If the running game is going early, then the Broncos can't dictate the tempo. Between Eric Allen and Woodson, the Raiders defense has two good cornerbacks who can take away the passing game of the Broncos. With McCaffrey banged up, the Raiders can focus on taking away Smith. The focus, though, will be on stopping the Broncos' running game. They will focus on rookie running back Gary and trying to keep Miller in long-yardage situations. The Broncos don't have Shannon Sharpe, so the Raiders will roll their coverage to take away Smith. Miller has been out of football for four years and still isn't used to seeing everything. Defensive coordinator Willie Shaw is aware of this and will try to make Miller react quicker than he is used to.
Broncos' game plan: For the Broncos defense, they are in for some difficulty, playing a team with a quarterback who understands where to throw the ball and receivers who can get open. They also have ice and fire in the backfield, with Napoleon Kaufman and Wheatley. The Broncos must stop the run first. They can't let the Raiders gain five yards on the ground or they will get worn out. Defensive coordinator Greg Robinson will play a safety close to the line of scrimmage, but they are taking some chances against a Raiders offense with Tim Brown, one of the best possession receivers of all time. Then they have good speed with Jett. They won't totally sell out to the run, but they need to commit to it first. If Wheatley gets 20 to 25 carries, the Raiders will be in good position. The Broncos can't allow that to happen.
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