![]() |
|
Sport Sections |
|
| ||||||||||||
Thursday, August 31 ESPN.com | ||||||||||||
Week 11 at a glance | Game of the Week | Sunday night | Monday night
Saints (2-7) at Jaguars (8-1) 8:20 p.m. ET, ESPN Line: Jaguars by 12½ Preview | ![]() Joe Theismann's Sunday night spotlight Inside the Playbook: Ricky Williams hits the jab
Why to watch: Taylor is questionable for Sunday night's game, but Coughlin says he will work on finding new ways to spark the offense without the versatile second-year running back. Jacksonville, which owns the best record in the NFL, plays only two more teams with winning records (the Steelers and Titans), so the Jags have plenty of time to get all their offensive talent on the same page for the postseason. And despite all the talk about their punchless attack, the Jags have scored more points (216) than every AFC team but the Colts (250). The major bright spot in northeast Florida has been the Jaguars defense. Jacksonville has allowed just 79 points, which is well on pace to break the 1986 Bears' record of giving up just 187 points in a 16-game season. The Jags also have collected a league-high 39 sacks, which is slightly behind the pace needed to break the 1984 Bears' single-season record of 72. Oh yeah, we almost forgot that there's another team in this game. The Saints finally end a seven-game losing streak with a 24-6 rout of the 49ers last week -- the biggest margin of victory ever for New Orleans in the series. It also broke the longest skid of Mike Ditka's coaching career. The Saints have made a habit of playing teams close, only to blow the lead in the fourth quarter. The spotlight will be shining on Saints rookie running back Ricky Williams, who will be playing the first nationally televised game of his NFL career. Over the last four weeks, Williams is averaging 27 carries per game, and he also has gained 107.5 yards per game in that span. Look for Ditka to ride the Heisman winner early and often -- even though the Jags are allowing a mere 86 yards on the ground per game.
Who to watch: Saints CB Ashley Ambrose (four INTs and two fumble recoveries) leads a decent New Orleans pass defense that ranks seventh in the NFL. That could make life tough on Jaguars QB Mark Brunell, who has thrown just eight TD passes in his nine starts. Jaguars WR Jimmy Smith ranks third in the AFC with 56 catches, but he has reached the end zone only three times. Jaguars RB James Stewart has rushed for 532 yards, but the offense doesn't show the same spark with him in the backfield in place of Taylor. Stewart also is banged up, so look for backup RB Stacey Mack to get some carries.
Three Jaguars have collected at least seven sacks -- LB Kevin Hardy (7½) and DT Gary Walker and DE Tony Brackens (seven apiece). Saints' Pro Bowl LT Willie Roaf will try to contain Brackens in a terrific battle in the trenches.
Saints' numbers to know:
Jaguars' numbers to know:
What it means: The Saints are simply playing out the string, but Williams might feel he has something to prove on the national stage. The Heisman winner has yet to score his first NFL touchdown, and his NCAA career rushing record was broken last weekend. Ditka will give him every opportunity to make a statement.
Sean Salisbury's breakdown Williams probably will carry the ball 40 times. Tolliver did a good job filling in last week, moving around and making plays against the 49ers. But the key for the Saints, with their lack of weapons, is that they have to run the ball early and establish the ground game. They need to hand the ball to Williams and hope to get in short-yardage situations. That is easier said than done against the Jacksonville defense. The Saints need to control the ball, but also make a few big plays because it will be hard to go 80 yards five times in the game and have the patience and wherewithal to excel at it. They must win on first down. Right now, the Saints defense must stop the Jacksonville running game and make Brunell beat them. The Jaguars passing game is so out of rhythm that if the Saints stop the run, they might have a chance. Expect the Saints to focus on containing the run while not selling out against the Jags offense. They need to play the Jaguars straight up or they could get burned. The Saints will play a lot of different zones and mixed coverage, but they won't blitz on every down because they can get exposed on the outside against Smith and Keenan McCardell.
Jaguars' game plan: The Jaguars defense will concentrate on shutting down the run completely. They will play a lot of single coverage outside and run a lot of zone blitzes to force the Saints into three-and-out on every series. The Jaguars will be willing to risk a big play outside to stop Williams. The Jaguars are so stout and sound with Brackens and Hardy, and a strong secondary with Carnell Lake. They will make the Saints beat them with Tolliver's passing.
Pivotal Player: | ALSO SEE
Week 11 injury reportWeek 11 picks |