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Thursday, August 29
Updated: August 30, 9:17 PM ET
 
The Big House, the big games and big WRs

By Chris Fowler
Special to ESPN.com

Inside the Big House. The final 90 minutes before opening day kickoff. Michigan and Washington in a rematch of last year's wild game, a battle of teams that will battle for Rose Bowl bids. The band marches in, along with 108,000 football-starved fans. Players combat the inevitable butterflies as the moment they've envisioned throughout winter weight room sessions and sweltering two-a-days approaches.

I guess you could say I'm a little excited/pumped/stoked/geeked about the first full Saturday of football, not to mention our first GameDay show. That's a scene I've imagined maybe 50 times the last couple of weeks. But then, if you've clicked to this column you probably understand. And you'll have to excuse the shameless plug. It won't be the last in this column.

Furry Creatures
The Wolverines and Huskies will have the fur flying Saturday, because there is recent history between the teams. If Michigan's O-line could have opened a crease on a crucial third-and-two in Washington territory last September, UM would have avoided a field goal try that was blocked and returned for a touchdown. The Huskies stole momentum and the ballgame.

B.J. Askew
B.J. Askew and the Wolverines hope to crank up the running game against Washington.

Michigan was embarrassed by its lack of a physical running game. They've vowed to change that. B.J. Askew and Chris Perry equal about 465 pounds of backfield muscle. Minus a proven playmaker on the edge for the first time in years, UM's plan is to get nasty up front.

The matchup to watch is Washington's long, lean WR Reggie Williams and Michigan CB Marlin Jackson, a stud as a true freshman last year. Williams has been covered by some great corners (Philip Buchanon of Miami, Quentin Jammer of Texas, and Marcus Truffant of Washington State) in his short career. He's not a 4.2 guy in the 40, but his height and long stride are trouble for even top-shelf DBs. Jackson spent the offseason (when he wasn't rehabbing a wrist injured in a pickup hoops game) dwelling on the Citrus Bowl scorching UM's secondary got from Tennessee. They helped make Donte' Stallworth a first rounder. It was humbling. And Jackson is not easily humbled. He has a Charles Woodson-like bravado and competitive fire. He's not Woodson, but he's a future pro.

Now, a challenge similar to the Citrus from Cody Pickett (who won't force things like he did too often last year) and Williams, plus speedster Paul Arnold and newly committed Charles Frederick. Jackson and Co. better hope the excellent D-line can get in Pickett's grill.

In Seattle, the Huskies would be the pick. But they were a dreadful road team last year and have to find stronger leadership when home teams apply the heat. UW got steamrolled 149-44 in three regular season road losses. "We were in shock," says Rick Neuheisel. For UW to have a good year, they'd better toughen up on hostile ground: they visit USC, Oregon, and Washington State (perhaps the toughest three Pac-10 opponents) all on the road.

Three Teams I'm Rooting For
Yeah, I know: No Cheering in the Press Box. Or in our case, the trailer. That's where we watch each Saturday's "other" big games when we're not on the sidelines watching GameDay's featured matchup.

Sorry, but in our trailer this season, I'll be rooting for the following three teams. Call me a sentimental softie now that I've just slipped quietly into the dreaded 4-oh.

Duke. C'mon, 23 straight losses is enough. After three winless seasons in the last six years, it's unlikely the Blue Devils will escape the ACC cellar. But as they approach Northwestern's neighborhood (34 straight Ls from '79-'82), I'm pulling for Duke to beat...somebody! Last season, the Devils actually led Florida State in the opener, 6-0, on a pair of Jason Williams treys. Just kidding. And they almost won at Rice. This fall, the best (and only decent?) shot at stopping the streak is at Navy on September 28. It's tough to root against an academy, but in this case, go Duke.

  • Alabama. Programs that cheat should be sanctioned severely. Alabama was smacked pretty good. The current players (and often, current coaches) will always be the victims. That's unfair, but what can you do?

    The program in question has to pay when major violations take place. But I feel for the current Tide guys. They had nothing to do with Albert Means and Memphis high school coaches and sleazy boosters. The came to Alabama to continue a championship legacy.

    Over the years, I've listened to Crimson Tide players express the immense pride they feel about putting on the Alabama uniform. For the current group, entire college careers have been spent under the cloud of allegations, investigations, and sanctions. They deserve better, and I give them credit for showing great chemistry as they get ready for a season in which they can't play for the SEC title or a bowl game. Dennis Franchione is one of the few coaches good enough to hack this kind of a challenge. If they stay together, the Tide can enjoy a 10-3 season. But they'd better show up Saturday, because Sunbelt champ Middle Tennessee State is much better than it sounds and has no fear of the SEC.

  • Penn State. The Lions simply cannot suffer a third straight losing season. The planetary alignment would be endangered. State showed a lot of heart in its late season push last year. They fell short of a bowl last year, but will not in '02.

    Plus, it has been a difficult summer for many in Penn State's family. Offensive coordinator Fran Ganter lost his wife and Joe Paterno's brother George also passed away following a heart attack. George did color on Penn State's radio broadcasts. It was a little weird to hear a voice almost identical to Joe's providing analysis and even questioning PSU's strategy in the middle of a game. George was a friend. I'll miss talking with him. Joe hates nothing more than sharing personal feelings with folks, but I know it's been tough on him to lose a brother. It's a reminder of mortality for a guy who seems to endure timelessly. I'm rooting for him this fall.

    Good for the Game
    Big ups to the schedule-makers in the SEC. Never thought I'd write that. A conference that perfected the recipe for cupcake non-conference tune-ups has changed its ways.

    Check out some of the opponents SEC schools face in the first two weeks alone: Miami, Oklahoma, USC, Oregon, Clemson, Georgia Tech, Virginia Tech, Louisville and Virginia! And the remarkable thing? SEC teams will face all those teams except Miami and Clemson on the road. Can I get an amen? The SEC's non-conference record will slip this year, but for good reason. And for the good of college football fans everywhere.

    Oh, and the only SEC teams that don't face one of the above foes in the first two weeks: Tennessee, Arkansas, and Ole Miss. The Vols play Miami in November, of course, and don't have to apologize for the schedule one bit.

    The non-league slates for Arkansas and Ole Miss are a little Ole School soft. But hey, the Rebels at least visit Texas Tech.

    Well-Intended Bad Idea
    Removing margin of victory from the BCS computer rankings was popular with coaches. But it's not a good idea. It won't effect late game strategy and won't facilitate more playing time for scrubs in blowouts. Piling on points existed long before computers did, and won't end now.

    Besides, margins are closely considered by pollsters just as they have always been. And rightfully so. Florida State's escape against Iowa State dropped it two spots. Should surviving with a tackle at the one yard line be viewed the same way as a three-TD romp? Of course not. Humans know better.

    Now computers are being denied data like final margins because we're afraid they won't be able to grasp the nuances that contributed to those scores. Of course they can't. They're computers. But if you are including computers in the BCS formula, and asking them to produce objective lists of the most worthy teams, how can you improve the process by giving them incomplete data. It just makes sense that the more complete the data you plug in, the better the information you get back.

    Math geeks agree. Besides, most of these formulas gave a team very little credit for truly running up scores. Diminishing returns for any margin beyond 21 points kicked in. Few coaches ever got this.

    If you thought the computer ratings spit out some curious rankings before, wait until you see what is produced this season.

    Plus, I think there's a real chance no I-A team remains perfect this season. A choice between about five or six once-beaten teams for Tempe would be fun, huh?

    Memo to "Bama Dave"
    He's GameDay's resident satellite guru, the guy who hooks up the four dishes connected to the office trailer I mentioned. Saturday, Bama Dave needs to hook up the following games:

    Colorado-Colorado State
    I'll have to sneak out of the Big House to keep an eye on the turf war in my home state. In Gary Barnett's three years, CU has been upset in all three openers (twice by CSU), never approaching a sharp performance. So the team's T-shirt slogan for '02 ("It's Never Been Done") has double meaning. The "It" they mean is repeating as champs of the Big 12, something no team has managed in the league's half-dozen years. But the conference slate ought to seem distant to the Buffs.

    CU will expect to smashmouth the Rams, who wilted in the Virginia heat and surrendered 221 rushing yards. But I doubt it'll be that easy. The Buffs' O-line is nicked up and not yet meshing like Barnett hopes they will. Even CU's backs can't run wild without those big holes on the counter plays.

    The Buffs will not duplicate last year's ground game. But Craig Ochs has been so sharp (18-of-20 in the final scrimmage) and the WR corps is much deeper and better, so Plan B (which was lacking in the Tostitos Feista flop) will be effective. CU's defense will be much improved, but the green secondary will certainly suffer early growing pains.

    Clemson-Georgia
    I got a phone call this week on my secret unlisted number (the one even my wife doesn't know) . It was my exclusive source in the Peachtree region. He had a brief but important message: the trendy alternative candidate for the SEC East crown is overrated. This one will be fun, because Clemson will be dangerous with Willie Simmons a year better. We know Georgia can score, too. But can they stop anybody? Bulldog fans are focused on beating Tennessee and Florida. They'd better worry about road tests at South Carolina, Alabama and Auburn.

    Mississippi State-Oregon
    The Bulldogs and Ducks are two converging lines on a graph. Oregon has improved its win total by one each year since '96. The trend can't continue (11-1 will hard to approach, let alone surpass). MSU's win total has been 9, 7 and 3 the last few seasons. Still, the Bulldogs fans are tremendous. Support is still very strong, season ticket sales up. MSU will reward them with a better year. The 'Dogs will be better equipped to pull out close games (5 losses by a TD or less) with QB Kevin Fant improved.

    Jason Fife
    Jason Fife might not be Joey Harrington, but he doesn't have to be.

    I just don't think the resurgence will start in spiffy remodeled Autzen Stadium. Joey Harrington says that new guy Jason Fife is "more talented" than he is. Fife certainly has a ton of skill around him. If he is anything but a total stiff, the Ducks will score points without trying.

    State's once-proud crew slipped to 10th in passing efficiency defense last season. The 'Dogs scored 95 points the last three games and lost two of them! The defense needs to recover its old relentless attitude or Joe Lee Dunn's rep will take a further licking.

    The question I've got is can a MSU staff that includes "Rocky, Curley and Sparky" coach serious football? Sounds like canine sidekicks in a new Disney feature. Maybe you prefer the legal firm-sounding last names: Felker, Hallman and Woods.

    C'mon, a little humor, as Mr. Corso says.

    The Vertical Game
    Notice how many talented, tall, rangy receivers there are in college football? It's a major trend, with recruiters all searching for the Randy Moss/David Terrell type. Often, the prevailing mismatch in a game is on the edge, with the following guys towering over shorter corners. My buddy Kirk loves lists, you know. So here goes:

    The best of the best, 6-3 and up:
    Andre Johnson, Miami
    Roy Williams, Texas
    Charles Rogers, Michigan State
    Darius Watts, Marshall
    Kelley Washington, Tennessee (injured for the Wyoming game)
    Reggie Williams, Washington

    What's scary is that all of these guys have established, talented QBs to pitch it to them. I foresee even more completions, yards and TD passes than last year's record-breaking totals.

    Next level:
    Billy McMullen, Virginia
    Michael Clayton, LSU
    Brandon Lloyd, Illinois
    Justin Gage, Missouri
    Tab Perry, UCLA

    Receivers with roundball skills, too:
    Mike Bush, Washington State
    Teyo Johnson, Stanford
    Fred Gibson, Georgia

    Gotta go now. Hope you'll join us on the season premier of GameDay Saturday at 10:30 eastern/7:30 pacific. We'll get a Big House tour from Bo Schembechler, Michigan memories narrated by Charles Woodson, Rick Neuheisel will wear a wireless mic during warm-ups, Kirk's visit with Chris Simms and reports on the debuts of Ty Willingham and Ron Zook. Wow, an extended shameless plug!

    Chris Fowler is the host of ESPN College GameDay and will contribute a weekly column to ESPN.com









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