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Tuesday, February 13
 
East could change now that Theo is out

By Mitch Lawrence
Special to ESPN.com

NEW YORK -- Addressing his Eastern Conference All-Stars before their upset win in the MCI Center, Larry Brown told his players: "You can't give up any layups to the West. Keep them away from the basket."
Theo Ratliff
Without Theo Ratliff, Philly will have to adjust the style of play.

While his All-Stars did the job, now we'll see if Brown's Sixers can keep teams away from the basket, without the benefit of having the backbone of their championship-quality defense.

With Theo Ratliff out for the next six weeks, if not lot longer, due to a stress fracture of the right wrist that yet may require surgery, it's going to be practically impossible for the Sixers to keep winning at their current pace. So much of their success has started at the defensive end, Ratliff's loss could even wind up costing them the top seeding in the East.

Behind Ratliff, the Sixers have the fifth-best defense, allowing only 89.6 ppg and 42 percent shooting. They also boast the fifth-best block average.

You just can't underestimate Ratliff's loss.

"It's like a nightmare," Allen Iverson said before winning his MVP award Sunday. "I thought it was a nightmare when I first heard about it. But when I saw him with the cast, it wasn't a nightmare. It was a reality."

The harsh reality is that without Ratliff, the Sixers don't have the league's top shot-blocker anymore. Ratliff was on his way to winning Defensive Player of the Year honors, at least on this scorecard, with his 187 blocks, going into the Sixers' game Tuesday in Milwaukee. His total was only eight fewer than the entire team totals of New York and Miami.

"We'll be OK -- I pray," said Sixers president Pat Croce.

They'll all be praying in Philly since the Sixers have to turn to two reserves, Todd MacCulloch and Nazr Mohammed, to patrol the lane. Matt Geiger is still out with a knee injury. Not that any of the three can really step in and replace their All-Star teammate.

"They're not shot-blockers," said the Bucks' Ray Allen. "So now, we've got to take advantage of it. Without Theo, you're taking away the best defensive player in the league. I think that could make them more vulnerable."

Right where they were once almost impenetrable.

"It's going to be like playing Miami now without Alonzo Mourning," the Knicks' Allan Houston observed. "I think we'll all be attacking the basket now. The Sixers don't just let people go by them and funnel them to Theo. We didn't do that when we had Patrick (Ewing) back there to block shots. But as an offensive player, you always knew in the back of your mind that even if you made a hard move to get to the basket, Theo would always be there. So it always required extra effort to score inside against them. Now, he won't be there."

How long is the key question. If, in two weeks, the wrist isn't healing properly, Ratliff likely will have to require surgery. That's where the six-week timetable could change dramatically, to the detriment of the Sixers. As it is, over the next month and a half, they're looking at 18 games, with 10 at home and eight on the road. It's no easy stretch, considering that they have to play the Bucks (three times), Lakers, Suns, Heat and Kings. And, he might also have to miss a three-game West Coast swing to Seattle, the Clippers and Phoenix.

It's not just Ratliff's presence they'll miss inside, either.

"I'll tell you this, Allen Iverson leads the league in steals because Theo is leading the league in blocked shots," Ray Allen said. "Allen can take more gambles because he knows if he gambles and misses, then his guy is going right to the basket, where Theo is sitting, waiting on him. He has more confidence that way."

Iverson has seen the Sixers successfully deal with the losses of Geiger and Eric Snow. But this might be one injury they can't overcome.

"Theo's an All-Star and he's helped us get so far with his success," he said. "You get worried now. It will be tough on us. If a guy scores a layup or an easy basket, everybody will feel like, if Theo was back there, it wouldn't have happened. And, we'll miss his presence down low. We'll all have to step up and play better. I'll have to elevate my game. I'll try to do it. We've shown a lot of character so far. Now, we'll definitely find out what we're made of."

So will the rest of the East.

Rim Shots

  • When the Grizzlies talked to the Knicks about Allan Houston in a possible Mike Bibby deal, they were told that Houston is "untouchable." Even with Houston having an opt-out this summer, Vancouver would take him in a second. They have limited interest in Marcus Camby, but have no use for Latrell Sprewell at all. So it doesn't look like anything can get done, unless the Knicks can enlist a third team that wants some of their players. Considering how almost nobody likes the Knicks' roster, finding a third team to make a deal work could be impossible. Knicks are in the market for a point guard because Charlie Ward's knee is iffy and Chris Childs isn't the answer. Grizz is apt to make a move by next week's trading deadline, since Bibby and Shareef Abdur-Rahim are having their own Kobe-Shaq feud.

  • It'll be interesting to see if the Suns try to get Bibby. With ticket sales off and considering all the off-court problems involving Jason Kidd, Anfernee Hardaway and Clifford Robinson, they might need a positive PR boost. Bibby did play in Arizona, remember, and has some fans in the Suns' executive suites.

  • Toronto's Antonio Davis won't come right out and say it, but he'd love to depart this summer, via an opt out, and go to Orlando in a sign-and-trade deal. He's building a house in Central Florida.

  • How strange is this? The Spurs and Blazers still haven't played and won't face each other until Feb. 27. Then they'll play three times within 21 days.

  • Several GM's were none too pleased that the league didn't come up with anything concrete as a way to get more shots and scoring. At the break, the 29 teams were averaging 80 shots a game. Ten years ago, the Jazz were at 85 attempts -- dead last. One GM was so turned off when Steve Francis went into his dribbling act off the usual isolation play in the Rookie-Soph's Game, that he started to boo. Really.

  • The East is Least and West is Best: Going into post-All-Star Game break, the West leads in head-to-head matchups 164-99. Only three Eastern teams have winning marks vs. West, while West has 11 teams with winning records vs. East. How tough is the West? "We've won 11 straight and we're still in sixth," said Minnesota's Kevin Garnett.

  • No matter what Alonzo Mourning wants to do, he's not coming back this season. So say his doctors and Miami brass, who say they don't want 'Zo risking a setback. "It's not worth it," said one Heat official.

  • Something to keep an eye on: With Boston and Seattle playing twice in a 12-day span, starting Thursday, Gary Payton and Antoine Walker are having a little personal showdown. Payton promises to score 30 on Walker. "And for every point over 30," he told the Celtic star over All-Star weekend, "you're going to give me $1,000."

    Mitch Lawrence, who covers the NBA for the New York Daily News, writes a regular NBA column for ESPN.com.





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