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Monday, February 5
 
In five years, a prime Kobe will rule the league

By Mitch Lawrence
Special to ESPN.com

In five years, a lot will change in the NBA:
Kobe Bryant
Kobe might be the NBA's top player now, but for sure in five years writes Mitch Lawrence.

  • Scoring will be so rampant that David Stern will be asking his basketball experts, "Any way we can get a little defense back into the game?"

  • Rick Pitino will be pleading with Chicago fans to have a little more patience as he tries to rebuild the Bulls.

  • Shaquille O'Neal, retiring at the age of 32, will have a permanent box on Hollywood Squares.

    Next to Dennis Rodman.

  • Michael Jordan will be asking Wizards fans for a little more patience.

  • Karl Malone, 42 and closing in the all-time scoring record, will say of Utah's title chances, "Everyone's counting us out, because we're really old now."

  • Allen Iverson, a mere 30, will vow to return in 2006-07, after undergoing hip and ankle replacement surgery.

  • And Kobe Bryant will be the best player in the game.

    You might scoff at those first few items, but Bryant seems a safe bet to be at the top of the sport.

    In fact, he's got a better chance than anyone else.

    Why? Because he'll still be in his prime at only 27 and he's way ahead of his peers, as it is. By the middle of the decade, he'll be focused on winning championships, not scoring titles.

    "When you look at Magic, Larry and Michael, all that mattered to them was winning," Bryant will say. "That's how I feel."

    The second-best player will be Kevin Garnett, although Eddie Griffin's supporters will say the Chicago Bulls star, starting his third season for Pitino's team, is gaining fast on Garnett, now moving toward his 30th birthday.

    Bryant will have a few things going for him. The Lakers will finally be his team, after Shaq hangs it up at the age of 32. "I always thought the triangle was more suited for me," Bryant will say. "I guess I was right."

    In fact, Kobe will be coming off two straight scoring titles, so he'll have that urge to score out of his system by then.

    In five years, the experts will look back and say they've seen Bryant dominate the game this way, circa 1999-2000, when the Lakers won their first championship. While Shaq walked off with the MVP, Bryant was probably the all-around best player in the game.

    Remember how Michael Jordan did whatever it took to win and simply refused to allow the Bulls to lose? That's the kind of player Bryant was at points in 1999-00, and he'll be doing it to an even larger degree in 2005.

    If the Lakers need someone to make a key assist, block a shot, get a steal, shut down a great offensive player, grab a rebound or get a basket or a trip to the line late in a playoff game, No. 8 is capable of doing all that. That's what separates him from everyone else, even as he was playing in only his fifth season in 2001.

    Case in point was his defense the year before against Iverson. Before Iverson's body totally broke down, Iverson was considered the most unguardable player in the league. But Bryant shut him down in several memorable confrontations en route to a berth on the All-Defense first team.

    Using his total game to win is what will separate Bryant from several notable players (remember, this is in five years):

  • Vince Carter. Now in Washington, Wizards fans had hoped they were getting the Next Michael Jordan, only to find out that Carter was The Next Dominique Wilkins.

    MORE ON DA BEST
    Iverson

    We have more coverage on the best players in the NBA than Tim Duncan. Ric Bucher from ESPN The Magazine hung out with Chris Webber, while Jeffrey Denberg discusses Allen Iverson. Check out the Best Player Index page to tell us your favorite and see all our features.

  • Chris Webber. Playing in New York for Doc Rivers, the fans have taken to complaining how soft CWebb is and how he shies away from contact. They're booing the ex-King, prompting Dave Checketts to tell one one media friend that he hasn't seen the Garden crowd this bad since Patrick Ewing's final days.

  • Rasheed Wallace. Paul Allen is still waiting for the light bulb to come on, as Wallace again leads the league in technicals. His ejection in the Blazers' crushing Game 7 loss in the Western Conference finals is seen as the last straw. "I don't know how much more cash it's going to take for us to win a title, but I can handle it," said Portland's owner, whose payroll is at a record $125 million.

  • Grant Hill. Still sidelined by troublesome ankle injury, he says he won't retire until he gets out of the first round.

  • Joe Forte. Atlanta got the steal of the 2001 draft with the Next Great Carolina Shooting Guard, but they still can't sell out Philips Arena.

  • Dajuan Wagner. He scored 100 points for Camden (N.J.) High, but never made it out of Fayetteville, N.C. and the NBA Developmental League.

    So how did Bryant get to the top? All the fans will trace his rigorous offseason work, improvement in several key areas and the natural maturing process.

    Like Jordan, he stopped trying to take over games from the opening tip and instead made it a priority to get other players involved. He discovered that the more he involved his teammates, the harder and better they played. Sometimes, he'd go the first five or six minutes to see how the game was unfolding and where he needed to apply his talents.

    "Just like Michael Jordan used to," Bryant noted. "I found out how to let the game come to me and not be in such a rush. That was hard, because I was used to doing everything early."

    Bryant also developed a low-post game and with Shaq's departure, had the inside to himself. His ability to create offense in the post, a la Jordan, made him even tougher to cover late in games.

    The scouting report earlier in his career was to play off him and prevent him from getting to the rim. But his perimeter game improved to where opponents had to guard him as far out as the 3-point line. His shot selection, long considered the weakest phase of his game, got to be so good, starting around 2002, that he turned into an impossible cover. That's when the comparisons started.

    "Nah, I don't want to say I'm as good as Jordan, Bryant will say modestly.

    "OK, maybe."

    Rim Shots

  • Joe Dumars denies telling several Pistons that George Irvine will be gone by the All-Star break. "No, no, no, absolutely not," said Detroit's president. Dumars said that he has no intentions of replacing his head coach, even after a 4-11 January, when the Pistons lost by an average of 13 points. "I knew January would be a bad month, no matter what," Dumars said. "I looked at it and said, unless we implode, we'll be OK. Well, we got through it. We're not about to do anything with George." When they got bombed at home on Jan. 24 by Phoenix, without Jason Kidd, by 33 points, the coaching staff thought they were goners. Firing Irvine wouldn't solve the Pistons' No. 1 problem anyway. Detroit needs talent.

  • X's and O's: Washington's Leonard Hamilton, overwhelmed by the enormous workload in his first season, is looking to get back to a college job. Wiz assistant GM Rod Higgins is the candidate-in-waiting.

  • The Clippers aren't happy that Alvin Gentry has the team 20 games under .500. But without a logical replacement on the bench (sorry, Dennis Johnson), they're not going making a change. This summer? Possibly.

  • In Vancouver, Sidney Lowe is looking over his shoulder as team prez Dick Versace waits until the right time to take over. With the Griz headed to another woeful record, that won't happen until the offseason.

  • Larry Brown congratulated Latrell Sprewell for making the All-Star Game before the Sixers polished off New York in the Garden. But the Sixers coach didn't vote for Spree. "I gave him a lot of consideration," Brown said. "I don't want this thing turning into a political situation. But I just felt that a guy like Reggie Miller deserved to make it. You look at what a guy has done over the years, what he's brought to the league and how he's handled himself, and you want to reward him. That's how I feel about guys like Reggie and Tony Davis."

    Miller, OK. But Antonio Davis isn't an All-Star, by any definition.

    Mitch Lawrence, who covers the NBA for the New York Daily News, writes a regular NBA column for ESPN.com.





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