Sunday, October 15
Week 13 previews



Game of the Week | Thursday night | Sunday night | Monday night

Steelers (5-6) at Jaguars (10-1)
8:20 p.m. ET, ESPN
Line: Jaguars by 10½
Preview | War Room preview | Baxter's bits
Joe Theismann's Thursday night spotlight

Mike Tomczak
Mike Tomczak takes over the struggling Steelers offense.

Why to watch:
These AFC Central rivals are definitely headed in opposite directions. The Steelers have dropped three in a row -- all to divisional opponents, including unfathomable losses to the Browns and Bengals at Three Rivers Stadium. Needless to say, that skid has put Pittsburgh in a state of turmoil, with coach Bill Cowher denying reports that he will go elsewhere at the end of the season and Kordell Stewart losing his starting job to Mike Tomczak.

The Steelers, who are 4-2 on the road and a dreadful 1-4 at home, probably need to win their five remaining games to have any shot at the playoffs. However, Pittsburgh has never won in Jacksonville, so the battle starts with an uphill climb.

The Jaguars own the NFL's best record and ride the league's longest winning streak at eight games. Despite their success, the Jags are only one game ahead of the Titans as they bid for their second division title in franchise history.

Although the wins keep piling up, Jacksonville remains highly inconsistent. The Jags have reached the 30-point mark in four of their last five games, but right in the middle of that stretch was a six-point, 132-yard effort against Baltimore. After holding the opposition to single-digit scoring six times in their first nine games, the Jags have allowed 23 points in each of the last two weeks.

Still, all that might be getting a little too picky. The bottom line is Jacksonville still has the NFL's No. 1 defense, has allowed fewer points than any team in the league (125) and has scored more points (287) than every AFC team but Indianapolis.

Clearly, the Jaguars, who won the first meeting 17-3 in Pittsburgh, have the inside track toward home-field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs.

Who to watch:
Tomczak makes his first start at quarterback this season for the Steelers. The 15-year veteran came off the bench last week and went 19-for-35 for 264 yards and two TDs, nearly rallying Pittsburgh from a 24-3 deficit against Cincinnati. Tomczak will be making his first start since 1996 and the 68th of his career. Cowher has hinted that Tomczak will be backed up by Pete Gonzalez, meaning Stewart will be relegated to the No. 3 spot.

INJURY REPORT
Steelers: OUT: WR Will Blackwell (foot). DOUBTFUL: WR Courtney Hawkins (ankle); RB Richard Huntley (foot); CB Chad Scott (knee). QUESTIONABLE: C Dermontti Dawson (hamstring); DE Nolan Harrison (pectoral). PROBABLE: S Donovan Darius (groin); WR Troy Edwards (stomach); CB Lethon Flowers (shoulder); S Jason Simmons (hamstring).

Jaguars: OUT: TE Kyle Brady (knee); G Rich Tylski (foot). QUESTIONABLE: RB Fred Taylor (hamstring). PROBABLE: TE Rich Griffith (knee); WR Lenzie Jackson (groin); TE Damon Jones (ankle); DE Renaldo Wynn (thigh).

Of course, that doesn't mean Stewart won't play. Expect to see No. 10 back in his "Slash" role, playing some at WR in place of the injured Courtney Hawkins and Will Blackwell. The one constant for this struggling offense is Steelers RB Jerome Bettis. However, the big back was held to 58 yards on 20 carries in the first meeting with Jacksonville, and he might be in for another rough day against the NFL's No. 5 run defense.

Tomczak will look to get the ball to rookie WR Troy Edwards, who leads the team with 42 catches for 500 yards, and second-year pro Hines Ward, who has scored four TDs. However, those two will face two excellent cover men in Jaguars CBs Aaron Beasley and rookie Fernando Bryant. The Steelers might again be without C Dermontti Dawson, who is the heart of their offensive line.

Jaguars QB Mark Brunell has broke out of his slump to throw for 689 yards in his last two games. That has meant great things for Jaguars WR Jimmy Smith, who has caught 19 passes for 352 yards the last two weeks. Jaguars WR Keenan McCardell also broke out last week, joining Smith as the team's first two 100-yard receivers in the same game this season. Steelers CB Deshea Townsend, who replaces the injured Chad Scott, will be on the spot against the Jags' explosive tandem.

Jaguars RB Fred Taylor continues to battle a hamstring injury and is listed as questionable. Don't be surprised if Taylor sits out again and gets another 10 days of rest before the team's Dec. 13 game against Denver. If Taylor doesn't go, Jaguars RB James Stewart will start. Stewart is averaging only 3.5 yards per carry, but he needs just 335 yards to reach the 1,000-yard mark and has scored 10 touchdowns.

Watch for Jaguars LB Kevin Hardy, who leads the team with 74 tackles and 8½ sacks, to blitz the immobile Tomczak. Jaguars DE Tony Brackens (eight sacks) will also look to add to his sack total, and defensive coordinator Dom Capers will call for plenty of zone blitzes against his former team.

Steelers' numbers to know:
Back in April, Stewart signed a five-year, $27 million contract extension with a signing bonus of $8.1 million. That means he's under contract to the Steelers through the 2003 season. The benched quarterback has thrown 10 interceptions and just six TD passes with a passer rating of 64.8.

Jaguars' numbers to know:
Jacksonville has a turnover margin of plus-14 (25 takeaways and just 11 giveaways). That mark ranks second in the NFL behind the Chiefs' plus-17. The Jaguars are trying to sweep the Steelers for the first time in the history of this series.

What it means:
The Jaguars don't have much margin for error in their bid to win the AFC Central and wrap up home-field advantage. With the playoffs approaching, Jacksonville is also trying to get its dominating defense and explosive offense on the same page in the same game.

The Steelers have no margin for error if they're going to avoid missing the playoffs for the second consecutive season. Plus, how Pittsburgh plays over the final weeks probably will determine the direction of the franchise for the offseason.

Sean Salisbury's breakdown
Steelers' game plan:
Pittsburgh needs offensive continuity, something Tomczak should bring. The veteran QB doesn't have Stewart's big-play ability, but Tomczak knows where to throw the ball and has more command of the offense. He is physically limited, but the Steelers just need someone who makes good decisions with the ball. He just needs to understand what offensive coordinator Kevin Gilbride wants to do.

The Steelers need to protect Tomczak, because the Jaguars will bring the rush and not allow Tomczak the time to make his reads. Stewart will return to his "Slash" role, moving to different positions. Jacksonville must now go back to film from 1996 to find ways to defend Stewart. He is a weapon and a big-play performer, so the Steelers need to put him on the field and use him to change the defense, not just as a gimmick.

Jaguars' game plan:
I knew it would only be a matter of time before the Jaguars exploded offensively, and now they have. Smith and McCardell had more than 100 yards receiving last week. When I see those numbers, I know Brunell is making the right decisions.

Even though Taylor might be a game-time decision again, Stewart has been a steady back. With a 10-1 record, I would rather have Taylor sit out another week or two to get healthy for the stretch run. The offense is starting to peak. Maybe Brunell is becoming more comfortable with coach Tom Coughlin calling the plays. The Jaguars need to understand that the Steelers will zone blitz and do everything they can to confuse Brunell. The Jaguars will use maximum protection, blocking seven or eight defenders, and try to get the ball to Smith and McCardell, exploiting the Steelers in single coverage.

Pivotal Player:
Tomczak. He doesn't have a lot to lose. All he has to do is operate the offense and be efficient. He needs to be protected, though.






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