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Wednesday, December 1
War Room: Steelers at Jaguars


Pittsburgh offense vs. Jacksonville defense
STEELERS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 8
Pass 26
Tot. Yds. 22
Scoring 18
Int's allowed 12
Sacks allowed 24
   
JAGUARS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 6
vs. Pass 4
Total yds. allowed 3
# of Ints. 15
# of Sacks 44
Turnover differential +14
It is amazing how one person can make or break an entire offensive scheme. Offensive coordinator Kevin Gilbride has been working with Kordell Stewart to adjust the scheme to his talents and tendencies, but the bottom line is that Stewart is incapable of getting the job done with enough consistency to be a starter in the National Football League.

Stewart's reign as the Steelers starter came to a crashing halt last Sunday when he was pulled in favor of 37-year-old veteran Mike Tomczack. Tomczack is only a dependable backup in this league, but he showed that it does not take much to make Gilbride's system work.

The Steelers offense is designed to stretch the defense vertically, especially down the middle of the field with crossing routes from the wide receiver position and seam routes from TE Mark Bruener. By stretching the field, it creates more room to run the ball underneath and forces defenses to play honest.

Granted, Tomczack had his success against a Bengals defense that has had its fare share of problems, allowing more than 230 yards per game in the air. But the strategy is the critical element. Tomczack does not have to throw for 300-plus yards a game for this offense to work. He just has to make the passing game a threat and take advantage of opportunities when they arise; something that Stewart was unable to do.

It will be interesting to see how rookie WR Troy Edwards responds to his insertion in the starting lineup. Edwards is now the No. 1 receiver, with Hines Ward playing opposite as the No. 2 and Courtney Hawkins moving down to the slot position in three-receiver sets. Edwards and Ward are going to play critical roles in this game, having to stretch the field and needing to take advantage of man-to-man coverage in a lot of first- and second-down situations against CBs Fernando Bryant and Aaron Beasley.

Beasley and Bryant are critical players in the Jaguars scheme, because they are called upon to play on an island to allow the front seven to be active in the pass rush. Edwards and Ward are going to have to be able to stretch the defense and give the Steelers some production in the passing game down field. If the outside receivers are taken out of the game in single-man coverage, it will allow the Jaguars to use nine men in the zone blitz package to get after QB Tomczak, making his first start of the season.

The challenge for the Steelers now is going to be to create a rhythm offensively against Dom Capers' zone-blitz scheme in Jacksonville. The scheme is designed to put tremendous pressure on quarterbacks in the passing game, and if run correctly it also is an effective run-stopping system. The Jaguars defenders have been so disciplined with their assignments and keys, they are not only leading the league in sacks with 44, but they are also holding opponents to 87.4-yards per game rushing.

The Steelers are going to stick with the duo of Jerome Bettis and Richard Huntley as the "change of pace" attack on the ground. Bettis has been doing his usual job of pounding the ball out on first and second downs, but the emergence of Huntley as a receiving threat and more of a speed back in nickel situations, has given the Steelers offense more diversity and allows Bettis to rest.

Jacksonville offense vs. Pittsburgh defense
JAGUARS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 5
Pass 14
Tot. Yds. 9
Scoring 4
Int's allowed 7
Sacks allowed 24
   
STEELERS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 19
vs. Pass 1
Total yds. allowed 5
# of Ints. 12
# of Sacks 30
Turnover differential +6
The Jaguars are averaging 26.1 points per game this season, but the offense is still not up to the level it is capable of achieving. Much of the blame for inconsistency and breakdown can be placed on injury, while some of it can also be pointed to QB Mark Brunell's erratic passing this season.

Thursday, the Jaguars still will be without RB Fred Taylor, who is sitting out for one more week to rest his hamstring, and also will play without TE Kyle Brady. Brady has been a big boost to this offense, establishing himself as a receiving threat as well as one of the top blocking tight ends in the league.

This matchup is interesting because it is hard to predict which unit will show up for either team. The Steelers have built their team around a rock solid defense, only to be let down on certain weeks with a passive effort, including the surrendering of a 415-yard offensive performance by the Cincinnati Bengals this past week.

For the Jaguars, the story is much the same. They are averaging 414-yards of total offense but have played down to the level of competition on a weekly basis. Assuming both teams come to play Thursday in this divisional rivalry, it makes for a marquee showdown.

The Jaguars are running the ball effectively even without Taylor in the lineup, but the downside is that RB James Stewart does not draw the same attention as Taylor does in this offense. Jacksonville should be able to run the ball off-tackle, behind OTs Leon Searcy and Tony Boselli, who are mismatches for DEs Orpheus Roye and Kevin Henry.

The biggest question for the Jaguars is their ability to keep Steelers ILBs Levon Kirkland and Earl Holmes from chewing up all the room inside the tackles. The key will be the ability of OC John Wade to handle his matchup inside on NT Joel Steed, who is bigger, stronger and perhaps quicker off the ball. The Jaguars cannot afford to use a double team on Steed, because it will limit the offensive guards ability to get out and chip. If Wade is outmatched, the Jaguars are going to struggle running the football.

The Jaguars, if they are able to protect Brunell up front, should be able to exploit a Steelers secondary that is having its fair share of communication breakdowns and matchup problems. Keenan McCardell and Jimmy Smith are two of the best in the business and are fully capable of dominating their matchups with CBs Dewayne Washington and Chad Scott.

The key for the Steelers is going to be the play of FS Scott Shield, who took over the starting job after Travis Davis was beaten in the deep third last week against Cincinnati. Scott is going to have to play an active centerfield to help defend against the speed of the Jaguars' receiving corps. If he gets caught inside or bites on the play fake, the Jaguars will have great success throwing the ball up top.

Special teams
NFL RANK
Category PIT JAC
Punt return avg. 14 11
Kickoff return avg. 29 30
Opp. punt return avg. 23 11
Opp. kickoff ret. avg. 6 29
Time of possession 5 3
Kris Brown continues to impress in his rookie season, connecting on 19 of 21 with a long of 51 yards. The rookie is showing excellent mechanics and has handled all the conditions that surround the kicking game in Pittsburgh. Josh Miller seems to have finally settled in as a consistent NFL punter, and his leg strength is beginning to separate him from the pack as he is averaging 45.0 yards per punt.

For Jacksonville, Mike Hollis is presently second in the league behind Olindo Mare, connecting on 25-of-28 field goal attempts, with a long of 50 yards. Bryan Barker is having a very mediocre season, averaging 43.1 yards per return, but his ability to direct his punts has made Barker a valuable tool. He is only allowing 18.7 percent of his punts to be returned, and 26 of 55 attempts have been dropped inside the 20-yard line.

Key matchups

  • Pittsburgh OC Dermonti Dawson vs. Jacksonville zone blitz
    Dawson is still the top offensive center in the league, not only because of great physical talent, but also his leadership ability. Dawson makes all the offensive line calls and is going to be a crucial player against the Jaguars, who are so effective defensively because of their complex zone-blitz scheme. Dawson is going to have to make great calls at the line of scrimmage, making sure that his line knows its responsibilities and is in good position to pick up the blitz.

  • Pittsburgh WRs Troy Edwards and Hines Ward vs. Jacksonville CBs Aaron Beasley and Fernando Bryant
    Beasley and Bryant are critical players in the Jaguar scheme, because they are called upon to play on an island to allow the front seven to be active in the pass rush. Edwards and Ward are going to have to be able to stretch the defense and give the Steelers some production in the passing game down field. If the outside receivers are taken out of the game in single-man coverage, it will allow the Jaguars to use nine men in the zone-blitz package to get after the QB.

  • Jacksonville OT Tony Boselli vs. Pittsburgh DE Kevin Henry
    Henry stacks up well against the run, but he is not much of a threat in pass rush. He shows very little ability as an outside pass rusher and does not have the speed to dominate this matchup. Boselli should be able to lock on to Henry and take him out of the game. If Boselli can force Henry inside, it will not only give QB Mark Brunell more time to operate in the pocket, but will also open up the outside running attack for the Jaguars.

    Pittsburgh will win if...

  • It can run the ball to neutralize Jacksonville's blitz scheme. The Jags have been so successful against the run this season because of how disciplined they are in their assignments. The Steelers have gotten away from their running attack the past few weeks since they've fallen behind early and been forced to play catch-up. The Steelers, with QB Mike Tomczak getting his first start, need to establish the run early, forcing the Jaguars to back off some of their pressure. It is also vital for Pittsburgh to run the ball early on in order to limit Jacksonville's offensive opportunities.

  • The offensive line avoids communication and assignment breakdowns. The Jaguars have been dominant defensively because they are showing so many different fronts with their zone-blitz scheme. The Steelers have a veteran offensive line but have been spotty in their execution all season long. The Steelers can match up as long as they avoid communication errors. Stability up front becomes even more critical considering it is Tomczack's first start and he is less mobile than Kordell Stewart and needs more time to work in the pocket.

  • The safeties avoid giving up the big play. Safeties Lethon Flowers and Travis Davis play crucial roles for the Steelers because they must play a big role in run support but cannot afford to get caught guessing close to the line of scrimmage or Jacksonville's wide receivers will make big plays down the field. Flowers and Davis are going to have to be extremely disciplined in the middle of the field and avoid peeking against the play fakes of QB Mark Brunell.

    Jacksonville will win if...

  • Defensively, they can force the Steelers to throw the ball. With QB Mike Tomczack making his first start, the Steelers offensive game plan will be to run the ball early in order to neutralize the Jaguars pass rush. Jacksonville needs to take some risks against the run, using a lot of eight- and nine-man fronts to stop the run. If they can take RB Jerome Bettis out of the game early, it will allow the front seven to tee off on Tomczack on third-and-long situations.

  • Mark Brunell can exploit some man-to-man coverage on his wideouts. The Steelers are extremely worried about the running game of the Jaguars and are going to load up close to the line of scrimmage to stop the run. Brunell has been erratic all season but needs to be on target Sunday to take advantage of favorable man-to-man matchups on WRs Jimmy Smith and Keenan McCardell. Smith and McCardell are superior athletes to the Steelers cornerbacks and should be able to shake free down field if the Steelers don't get help in the deep third from their safeties.

  • TE Kyle Brady gets more involved in the passing game. With the Steelers safeties so concerned with run support and giving help in the deep third against Jacksonville's wideouts, Brady should have a lot of room to work with in the middle and may find himself matched up against linebackers in coverage. Brady is an athletic tight end with great physical ability, but he needs to make himself more available in the passing game in order to draw attention in the middle of the field.

    The War Room edge
    This matchup features two teams heading in completely opposite directions. The Steelers are fresh off an embarrassing home loss (third straight) to the previously 1-10 Cincinnati Bengals in a game where Kordell Stewart finally was benched in favor of veteran QB Mike Tomczak. The Jaguars, on the other hand, increased their league-best record to 10-1 and still sit a game ahead of the Tennessee Titans in the division.

    The good news in this contest for Pittsburgh is two-fold, however. The Steelers are on the road, where they are 4-2 this season, and they are playing a Jacksonville team that seems to play down to its level of competition each week.

    Nevertheless, the Jaguars have the No. 1 defense in the league and are capable of making Tomczak's first start a miserable one with intense pressure from the zone blitz. If Jacksonville can get going early on offense, which they should be able to do against an unreliable Steelers secondary, Pittsburgh will be forced into a catch-up situation, and nobody likes trying to rally against the Jaguars.

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