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Thursday, July 12
Accept Beijing for potential, or shun it for past?



MOSCOW -- The International Olympic Committee sees itself as a force that can change the world. It's about to decide whether that force is worth a great risk -- and perhaps an even greater reward.

2008 Olympics
A billboard in the Beijing International Airport reads "We wish Beijing success for the bid to host the Olympic Games." The key vote of the IOC comes Friday in Moscow.
Unless something drastic happens in the final 24 hours, the 100-plus members of one of the world's most exclusive clubs are expected to vote Friday to give the 2008 Summer Games to Beijing.

The capital of the world's most populous nation and one of the final totalitarian strongholds of communism has been in front for months, leaving competitors from Paris, Toronto, Istanbul and Osaka searching for ways to get ahead.

So far, it seems they haven't found one.

"I think we're neck and neck," Toronto bid chief John Bitove said in the closest any of the challengers have come to shouting, "We're No. 1."

To vote for Beijing, IOC members must ignore calls from human rights groups and members of Congress who argue that sending the games to China would reward a repressive regime that regularly imprisons and executes citizens and is holding American scholars for doing no more than living their lives.

On Wednesday, protesters for a free Tibet gathered across the Moscow River from the trade center where the IOC is meeting. They unfurled a large banner featuring bullet holes in the place of the five Olympic rings before riot police broke up the demonstration and detained at least eight people.

As IOC members met Thursday with Russian President Vladimir Putin to discuss the Olympic ideals of "peaceful, honest competition," two more anti-Beijing activists were detained by police for trying to hand out leaflets at the IOC press center. An Associated Press photographer who was detained in Wednesday's demonstration, Maxim Marmur, was released on personal recognizance.

But the lure of Beijing is strong.

The bid is solid, sharing the top ranking with Paris and Toronto in the IOC's own technical evaluation. China is a nation of sports fanatics and has been a loyal member of the Olympic community since emerging from isolation almost three decades ago, ignoring the Soviet-led boycott of the 1984 Games in Los Angeles and moving up the medal charts ever since.

And there are two big plusses tailor-made for IOC minds -- taking part in economic and democratic reforms that already are under way, and busting open the world's biggest market with its corporate sponsors.

"Beijing can be seen as presenting the chance to be an agent for change," said Dick Pound, the Canadian member who heads IOC marketing efforts and is running to be the committee's next president.

Eight years ago, with the bloody memories of Tiananmen Square still fresh, the IOC passed on that chance, choosing to go to Sydney for the 2000 Games. Beijing led every round until the last, when Sydney won by two votes.

Chinese officials think the IOC won't make that decision again.

"I am still full of confidence," said Tu Mingde, a senior Beijing bid official. "I think the IOC members understand. ... Yes, we have worries. But that only gives us more pressure to work harder."

In the lobbies of the meeting halls across from the ornate old Hotel Ukraine, still sporting it's Cold War-style stars and laurel wreaths, Tu and other Beijing delegates have spent the last five days trying to convince anyone who would listen that things back home are changing and the Olympics would only push it along.

"The government has stepped up great efforts to develop parts of our country, and the Olympic Games will be a catalyst to develop further," Tu said. "I can't say how, but it will really help.

"It is like inviting a VIP to your house. You accelerate the pace of your schedule. You buy nice mahogany furniture and nice silverware when you invite the guest of honor for dinner. We don't want to stop. We want to further develop."

On Wednesday, Beijing's efforts to be viewed as just another bidder instead of a political hot potato received an extraordinary boost from Salt Lake City Winter Games chief Mitt Romney.

At the end of a news conference to announce a new anti-drug plan, Romney asked the IOC to consider Beijing's bid on its technical merits and not be swayed by critics of China's human-rights policies.

He said voters should take advantage of a "very unique time in history" when superpowers are at peace by helping to open China to the world.

"The Olympics are about building bridges, not building walls," Romney said. "We should not build walls that block communication with other countries, even if we vehemently disagree with their practices."

Asked if he was endorsing Beijing's bid for the 2008 Games, Romney replied: "It is an endorsement for giving full consideration to Beijing's bid, just as any other bid, on its merits."

Romney himself got a boost Thursday when the IOC approved his plan to flip the order of awarding medals at Salt Lake, with bronze given first and gold last. The change, on a one-time test basis for 2002, is designed to build excitement and put a brighter spotlight on the champions.

If the IOC again gets cold feet about Beijing, it can turn to one of two other exceptional bids that in most campaigns would be virtual locks -- Toronto, which stresses a compact layout; and Paris, with good facilities, recent organization experience and unmatched romance.

Istanbul and Osaka have stayed in the race, but have little chance following evaluations that left them several degrees below the other three in virtually all areas.

This is the first time a summer Olympics host will be picked under rules adopted in the wake of the Salt Lake City bidding scandal. Members are barred from visiting bid cities and only the barest contact is allowed. That means the hour-long presentation and question time each city gets Friday could be important.

The makeup of the IOC has changed because of the scandal, too. It's bigger, with more representatives of athletes, sports federations and national Olympic committees, and has not yet developed a history of action.

"Thirty percent of our membership has appeared in the last few years," Pound said. "Are they more political? We don't know."

Thomas Bach, a former Olympic fencer from Germany who's now an executive board member, said the situation with Beijing is not much different than any other decision the IOC makes.

"It's about how do you serve the mission best," he said. "Risk and chance are always a balancing act."

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