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Tuesday, December 12, 2000
This comeback changes everything




Let us now assume that all the hurdles have been cleared, and that some time around the start of the New Year, Mario Lemieux comes back and plays with the Pittsburgh Penguins. Let us also make the safe assumption that even after the longest delay of his career, Lemieux comes back as a top-level player.

Mind you, we're not even assuming the best player in the world, but an impact player who can change the fortunes of a game. A player who can change the fortunes of a team.

The addition of Lemieux is going to change a lot in the East. It might make the Buffalo Sabres more likely to settle their contract problems with Michael Peca, and perhaps even make the Flyers try to get whatever they can recover for the rights to Eric Lindros.
Morganti on Lemieux's impact on the Eastern Conference

The next question is whether or not he can change the fortunes of a whole season. Will Mario Lemieux's return seriously alter the chances of winning the Eastern Conference, and perhaps influence who will be crowned Stanley Cup champion in 2001?

Take a look at the East, and you see a conference in which the Stanley Cup champion New Jersey Devils remain the favorite to at least reach the finals. However, the addition of Lemieux to the Pittsburgh lineup has a direct affect on the Devils.

Go back to last spring, the Penguins had a 2-0 lead on the Philadelphia Flyers, and won those first two games in Philadelphia. The Penguins then went down in flames, losing the series. One loss was a five-overtime los crusher.

Do you really think a team with both Lemieux and Jaromir Jagr would blow a lead like that? If the Penguins got past the Flyers last spring, the next team in the way was the Devils.

If those two teams meet in the 2001 playoffs, the double whammy of Lemieux and Jagr would be a tough match for New Jersey's power game up front with Jason Arnott and Bobby Holik.

The bigger issue with Lemiuex's potential on-ice impact will be special teams. By all standards of reason, Lemieux will be a major factor on power plays and penalty killing. Assuming that the NHL continues its more strident manner of calling penalties, special teams will be even more important in the playoffs, in which case the Penguins would be a huge problem for any team.

Remember, there is a secondary issue at work here -- and that is what happens when no penalties are called. Teams will have their choice of poison, either back off Lemieux and Jagr for fear of taking a penalty -- in which case there is more open ice -- or play more physically and risk the penalty -- in which case Lemieux and Jagr get the power play.

The Devils still have the more balanced team, a proven goalie in Martin Brodeur, and a defense which boasts the physical hammering provided by Scott Stevens, along with the trap-breaking speed of Brian Rafalski and Scott Niedermayer. However, the Penguins will have a chance against any team with two towers called Lemieux and Jagr.

North of the border, the Toronto Maple Leafs and Ottawa Senators must also be casting a wary eye toward Pittsburgh. The bonus of getting Lemieux back in Pittsburgh is still not as crucial as Alexei Yashin back in Ottawa, and the questionable goaltending of Pittsburgh and Ottawa would make for more than a breathtaking series of offensive plays.

Meanwhile, any matchup with the Leafs would again push goalie Curtis Joseph into the spotlight, and the dark horse in the East remains the Buffalo Sabres. You want a fitting end to the Eastern Conference playoffs? How about Lemieux and his team of Czechs get Czech-mated by Buffalo goalie Dominik Hasek?

The addition of Lemieux is going to change a lot in the East. It might make the Buffalo Sabres more likely to settle their contract problems with Michael Peca, and perhaps even make the Flyers try to get whatever they can recover for the rights to Eric Lindros.

And come playoff time, the fear of playing the Buffalo Sabres because of Hasek could be equaled by the fear of playing the Penguins with Lemieux.

Al Morganti covers the NHL for ESPN.
ALSO SEE
Super comeback: Lemieux confirms return to ice

Pang: Lemieux sees kinder, gentler NHL

Mario Lemieux: Career chronology


AUDIO VIDEO
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 ESPN's Trey Wingo, Al Morganti and Brian Engblom breaks down Mario Lemieux returning to the NHL.
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 ESPN's Al Morganti with the latest details of the possible return of Mario Lemieux.
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 Will Mario Lemieux's return cause conflict among other owners and the league? ESPN's Al Morganti answers.
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 ESPN hockey analyst Al Morganti talks about the physical condition and limitations of Mario Lemieux.
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RealAudio: 14.4 | 28.8 | 56.6



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