The Tennessee Titans probably would have preferred going to
Jacksonville for their second-round playoff game -- they did hand
the Jaguars their only two losses of the season.
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| Peyton Manning will be making his first playoff start Sunday. |
But considering they needed a freak play just to get past
Buffalo, they're happy to be going anywhere, in this case to
Indianapolis on Sunday.
The key to this one may lie in an old college reunion -- Peyton
Manning against Jevon Kearse, "The Freak," who has become to NFL
quarterbacks just what he was for Florida against Manning and
Tennessee.
Kearse's contributions were forgotten in the drama of Frank
Wycheck's lateral and Kevin Dyson's kickoff return that beat the
Bills.
But he was directly responsible for nine of the 15 points the
Titans had before the kick return -- a sack for a safety and a
touchdown when the ensuing kickoff gave Tennessee good field
position. If he does it again, the Colts have problems,
particularly since Cornelius Bennett, the key to their defense, is
out with a knee injury.
That could be important -- Steve McNair may scramble a lot more
this week and has to throw downfield against an average
Indianapolis secondary.
Indy is favored by 5½.
Too much. Colts 29, Titans 27
Minnesota (plus 7) at St. Louis:
If anyone can beat the Rams, it's the Vikings in a game where
the over-under is a whopping 52.
But that's predicated on the idea that both teams will score and
the Vikings can't stop a good offense. It's also based on the fact
the Rams won by an average of 25 points at home, albeit against
opposition that was mediocre to poor -- the best team it beat was
Carolina (8-8).
Consider Kurt Warner a question mark for St. Louis.
Yes, he was the NFL's MVP and its leading passer. But the
pressure of a playoff game is far more intense than the other
playoffs he's been in -- the Arena League and NFL Europe.
On the other hand, Warner has met every challenge this year. And
Jeff George played just his second postseason game last week
against Dallas.
Still, that was with Vikings' Dome noise.
This is with the Rams' Dome noise. Rams 35, Vikings 27
Miami (plus 9) at Jacksonville:
After 6,000-mile round trip to Seattle, the Miami Dolphins get a
breather this week -- an hour-long flight to Jacksonville.
They also get a break -- Tony Boselli is out and Mark Brunell is
hobbled even after a bye week.
Is that sufficient for Dan Marino and his pals to move on to the
AFC title game against a team that lost only twice in the regular
season?
The oddsmakers and wagerers think otherwise -- Jacksonville
opened as an 8-point favorite and the line was bet up another
point.
The reason is largely the Jacksonville defense and the Miami
offense (or lack of it).
The Dolphins got two good drives out of Marino on Sunday, enough
for a 20-17 upset against Seattle. They'll probably have trouble
repeating that against the Jaguars, whose defense is the main
reason they're the top seed in the AFC.
Still, the quick Miami defense will present problems for
Jacksonville _ Brunell will be less mobile and the Jags are
unlikely to run as well without Boselli.
Closer than the odds. Jaguars 17, Dolphins 13
Washington (plus 5) at Tampa Bay:
The Redskins got one break this week -- Tre Johnson wasn't
suspended for striking an official in the middle of an altercation
against Detroit.
But they also are likely to be without Stephen Davis, the NFC's
leading rusher, and two starting offensive linemen -- left tackle
Andy Heck and center Cory Raymer.
Yes, the Bucs are going with Shaun King, the greenest
quarterback in these (or most other) playoffs. But with the
Washington offense hurting, Tampa can win this one on defense.
Then they're on their own. Buccaneers 19, Redskins 13
Last Week: 3-1 (spread), 4-0 (straight up).