| By Rob Neyer ESPN.com
Speak the following three words aloud:
"Hall of Fame."
| | Joe Namath wound down his career with some mediocre years in L.A. |
Now do the same with these three words:
"Hall of Fame."
Hear the difference? Same three words, but two different definitions.
The first of those generally is used to argue for the best players,
those who did the most to help their teams win, generally for a long
stretch of time.
The second is used to argue for players who might not
have Hall-worthy statistics, but who nonetheless made a big impression on
people. Lately, this has been the argument for Roger Maris who, if nothing
else, certainly was, and is, famous. And it's probably true that the "fame
argument" has sometimes been enough to get someone into the Hall.
Let us consider two Hall of Famers, one a football player and the other a
baseball player. Both played in media capitals. Both enjoyed the fruits of
postseason team success, though neither played particularly well in those
games. Both saw their careers abbreviated by injury. And frankly, both
wound up with reputations that far exceeded their accomplishments on the
field.
Our two Hall of Famers: "Broadway Joe" Namath and Don "Big D" Drysdale.
Let's look at Namath's career ...
He finished his career with far more interceptions (220) than
touchdown passes (173). Namath finished only two seasons -- 1965
(18/15) and 1969 (19/17) -- with more touchdown passes than interceptions.
His career passer rating, 65.5, is fairly poor even by the standards
of his time. While it's true that Namath's numbers were dragged down
somewhat by the last few years of his injury-riddled career, it's also
true that he never led either the AFL or the NFL in passer rating.
For a stark contrast, we need look no farther than Len Dawson, Namath's
rough contemporary. Dawson's first season as a starting QB was 1962, and
he played until 1975. Namath's first season as a starting QB was 1965, and
he played until 1977. Dawson played in two Super Bowls, winning one of
them. Namath played in one Super Bowl, and of course he won it.
Dawson completed 57 percent of his career pass attempts, averaged 7.67
yards per attempt, threw far more touchdown passes than interceptions (239-183), and
finished with an 82.6 career passer rating. Namath completed 50 percent of
his pass attempts, averaged 7.35 yards per attempt and, as we noted
earlier, sported a relatively poor TD/interception ratio and finished with a 65.5
career passer rating.
Does Namath really belong in the Hall of Fame with Dawson? Well, perhaps
it depends on how seriously you take that word: fame. After all, Joe Namath was then, and remains now, a hell of a lot more famous than Len Dawson.
Namath had a nickname, he had a mouth, and he played in New York. Dawson
didn't have a nickname, he didn't have much of a mouth, and he played in
Kansas City. And to this day, few remember that Dawson was a significantly
better player than Namath.
Here are some of those stats for both quarterbacks, plus another QB who
will remain unidentified for a moment:
Name
|
Yards
|
Comp%
|
Yds./Att.
|
TD
|
Int.
|
Rating
|
Dawson
|
28,711
|
57.1
|
7.67
|
239
|
183
|
82.6
|
Namath
|
27,663
|
50.1
|
7.35
|
173
|
220
|
65.5
|
Mystery
|
27,938
|
59.8
|
7.37
|
194
|
222
|
75.3
|
Our mystery QB, while clearly not as good as Dawson, was measurably
superior to Namath in nearly every respect, at least statistically. And
like Namath, Mr. Mystery also guided his team to a single Super Bowl
victory.
So why isn't Ken Stabler in the Hall of Fame? Because he wasn't quite as
famous as Joe Namath.
And then there's Don Drysdale. Look at these two statistical lines:
Name
|
Years
|
W - L
|
ERA
|
Drysdale
|
14
|
209-166
|
2.95
|
Pappas
|
17
|
209-164
|
3.40
|
Rigorous analysis would suggest that Drysdale was, indeed, a better
pitcher than Milt Pappas. Drysdale twice won 23-plus games in a
season; Pappas never topped 17 wins in a single season. Drysdale
led his league in strikeouts three times, and in innings pitched
twice; Pappas led his league in a statistical category just once,
topping the National League in shutouts (and Drysdale did that, too).
Yet can the difference between their statistics account for the vast
difference between their Hall of Fame fortunes? After drawing scant
support in his first two years of eligibility, Drysdale became a serious
candidate in 1977, his third year of eligibility. And in 1984, with 303
votes needed for election, Drysdale garnered 316 votes.
And Pappas? In 1979, his first year of eligibility, Pappas drew only five
votes, and dropped off the ballot forever.
Name
|
Years
|
W - L
|
ERA
|
Drysdale
|
14
|
209-166
|
2.95
|
Pappas
|
17
|
209-164
|
3.40
|
Mystery
|
15
|
208-126
|
2.92
|
Again, our mystery man was an outstanding player, and in this case was
probably better than the man who is in the Hall of Fame.
So why isn't Carl Mays a Hall of Famer?
Well, in this case it's quite likely that his direct
involvement in the fatal beaning of Ray Chapman has played a major role.
But the point here is that, based on statistics alone, Drysdale is
less deserving of his plaque at the Hall of Fame than others who don't have one.
Drysdale was a fine pitcher, in some regards a great one. But it wasn't
his statistics that got him elected, it was something more. Drysdale
benefited from being a photogenic teammate of Sandy Koufax's, he benefited
from playing in the show-business capital of the world, and he benefited
from a fondness for the spotlight. In the 1960s, you could hardly turn on
your TV without seeing Drysdale on one program or another, from "Leave It
to Beaver" to "You Bet Your Life" to "The Brady Bunch."
Drysdale certainly
wasn't the best pitcher of the 1960s -- he probably wasn't as good as
Koufax or Bob Gibson or Juan Marichal -- but he may well have been the most
famous.
Does all this mean that Joe Namath and Don Drysdale don't belong in their
respective sports' Halls of Fame?
It all depends on where you put the emphasis when you say, "Hall of Fame."
Rob Neyer writes a daily baseball column for ESPN.com
| |
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