COMMUNITY
 Letters to Editor
Send a letter
BACKSTAGE
 The Magazine
ESPN Radio


 ALSO SEE
War Room: Week 16 previews



 ESPN.com
NFL

COLLEGE FB

NBA

NHL

M COLLEGE BB

W COLLEGE BB

GOLF ONLINE

BASEBALL

SOCCER

EXTREME SPORTS


Thursday, December 23
War Room: Redskins at 49ers


Washington offense vs. San Francisco defense
REDSKINS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 3
Pass 8
Tot. Yds. 2
Scoring 2
Int's allowed 13
Sacks allowed 26
   
49ERS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 18
vs. Pass 27
Total yds. allowed 26
# of Ints. 12
# of Sacks 29
Turnover differential -10
On paper, this appears to be a classic mismatch -- a high-powered Redskin offense against the struggling 49er defense -- but with the absence of Washington RB Stephen Davis, the playing field becomes a little more level. Davis is listed as doubtful for Sunday's game versus San Francisco, so his back-up, second-year man Skip Hicks, will be forced to carry the load.

Hicks is a different back than Davis, shiftier and a better runner outside the tackles. This will force the Redskin offensive line to do more pulling and reach blocking than it has been required to do to this point in the season. As a result, the Redskins desperately need veteran LOG Keith Simms to return from a knee injury that has forced him to play only sporadically over the last several weeks, although back-up Brad Badger has not played poorly in relief.

Whoever plays left guard will have their hands full with 49ers DT Bryant Young, who appears to have fully recovered from a broken leg that he suffered last year. Washington is most effective when it uses the run to set-up play action, so expect the Redskins to show a commitment to the running game despite the fact that Davis is injured. WR's Albert Connell and Michael Westbrook should have a field day against an inexperienced San Francisco secondary.

The 49ers have to do everything in their power to slow the Washington offensive attack, and the best way to do so is to keep constant pressure on Redskin QB Brad Johnson. Johnson has proven that he is less effective if he is getting knocked around a lot and is forced to throw on the run, so expect San Francisco to try to come with a variety of blitz packages.

Washington's pass blocking has been outstanding to this point in the season, so San Francisco defensive coordinator Jim Mora is faced with the unpleasant choice of giving Johnson all day in the pocket or forcing his suspect defensive secondary to play on an island for much of the day. When the 'Niners blitz, they will send a lot of guys and try to get to Johnson early to prevent him from finding his receivers for a big play.

It will be interesting to see who will start at RDC for San Francisco this week, as Ramos McDonald was pulled in favor of rookie Pierson Prioleau after blowing several assignments last week against the Panthers. Either way, look for Washington to throw at whichever corner gets the nod, as this position has been an Achilles heel for the team all season.

San Francisco offense vs. Washington defense
49ERS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 9
Pass 21
Tot. Yds. 15
Scoring 24
Int's allowed 18
Sacks allowed 33
   
REDSKINS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 24
vs. Pass 26
Total yds. allowed 27
# of Ints. 21
# of Sacks 37
Turnover differential +7
San Francisco's offense, which had been in hibernation for much of the season, has come to life over the last three weeks, led by the consistent play of QB Jeff Garcia. Garcia has averaged over 300 yards passing per game in this span, and as a result has made RB Charlie Garner's job that much easier.

Over the first 10 games of the season, Garner had been running hard, but was punished as opposing defenses consistently put eight and nine men on the line of scrimmage. With the emergence of Garcia and the passing game, Garner has had more room to make his moves and avoid direct contact with opposing linebackers.

This week against Washington, Garcia should again have another solid game, particularly if the team establishes the run with Garner early. Garner is most effective running outside the tackles so the 49ers should try to run sweeps to both sides of the field. TE Greg Clark is a solid blocker, and should be able to seal-off undersized Redskin LOLB Shawn Barber, creating running lanes and the potential for big plays for Garner. Clark is also a solid receiver, and is becoming a favorite target of Garcia if last week's 5-catch performance against Carolina is any indication.

The play of Washington's defense has improved steadily over the last month, saving defensive coordinator Mike Nolan's job for the time being. The Redskins have gotten better defensively by using their athleticism to pressure opposing quarterbacks, while asking their corners to play a more conservative brand of football.

LDC Champ Bailey and RDC Darrell Green have been keeping opposing receivers in front of them, taking fewer risks and making fundamental tackles. Anthony Cook has been installed at LDE, and his ability to neutralize opposing blockers at the point of attack has allowed his linebackers to come-up and make plays on opposing ball carriers.

In light of the fact that San Francisco QB Garcia has two of the better receivers in the game to throw the ball to, it is imperative that the Redskins disrupt his timing by putting a lot of pressure on him early. Nickel DE Ndukwe Kalu has shouldered much of this responsibility for the Redskins this season, and it will be no different this week as the 'Skins need him to use his quicks to get up field and pressure Garcia.

49er RB Garner is dangerous and to neutralize him, the Redskin defense must string Garner's runs out along the line of scrimmage by holding their assignments at the LOS and forcing Garner to run sideline-to-sideline. When Garner turns the corner, he is capable of turning an apparent short gain into a touchdown.

Special teams
NFL RANK
Category WAS SF
Punt return avg. 22 31
Kickoff return avg. 19 16
Opp. punt return avg. 29 23
Opp. kickoff ret. avg. 27 29
Time of possession 18 20
San Francisco's acquisition of KR/PR Roell Preston off the free agent wire is a double-edged sword for the 49ers. Preston brings a big-play potential that is rare around the league, demonstrated by his 58-yard kickoff return last week against the Panthers, but also brings the potential for disaster as demonstrated by his seven special teams fumbles last season. He could have a big game against Washington cover units that have been burned several times this season. The Redskins have surrendered one kickoff and two punt returns for touchdowns this season, so Washington must take extra care not to be burned by Preston. San Francisco's coverage units are both ranked near the bottom of the league and could struggle against the Redskins' James Thrash and Brian Mitchell, two of the more dynamic return men in the game. Washington PK Brett Conway has a big leg, but his accuracy has been spotty at times and he could have trouble in San Francisco, particularly if the weather is bad.

Key matchups
  • Redskin RB Stephen Davis vs. 49er front 7
    What makes this matchup so crucial is that the Washington offense is at its best when Davis is running well, with success on ground giving them a balanced attack. San Francisco's defensive line will need to play Davis straight up, because any slanting or zealous stunts will provide Davis with an opportunity to use his terrific vision to locate cutback lanes, making for substantial ground gains, opening up the Redskin offense.

  • 49er WR Terrell Owens vs. Redskins DC Darrell Green
    Owens has been inconsistent this season but poses enough of a threat that Green will end up playing man when matched against him. Green hasn't been covering well this season out of zone packages and could be picked on by the 49er quarterbacks.

  • Redskins OLG Jon Jansen vs. 49er DT Bryant Young
    Jansen and the Redskin offensive line have had few problems this season, however Jansen's inability to maintain his blocks has been one of them. Bryant Young is too problematic to be faced with half-baked blocks that aren't finished off. Jansen can only neutralize Young if he can keep in contact with him after the point of attack, otherwise he'll need help from Larry Centers and this will subtract from the Washington gameplan.

    Washington will win if...
  • Their LB's can shut down the middle of the field The 49ers offense doesn't throw the ball the deep ball well, but they have done a good job of using intermediate routes to their advantage. The Redskin linebackers will not only need to be mindful of where Greg Clark is but also of Owens and Rice. The Washington line backers must perform for their team to beat the 49ers.

  • Davis is completely healthy Stephen Davis is the key to the Washington offense, if he's unable to play at 100% he will be easy for San Francisco to eliminate. If Davis is healthy he'll be capable of attracting enough attention from the Niner's secondary and LB's that Johnson will have a much easier time throwing.

  • 49er FB Fred Beasley is slowed at the LOS Beasley has been on a tear of late, both running the ball and blocking for Garner. The 'Skins will need the fist linebacker he comes across to disrupt his path, because Beasley is the player responsible for springing Garner most all 49er running plays. Washington must phase Beasley out of the game to win it.

    San Francisco will win if...

  • They establish offensive tempo early If the 49ers can create balance early they'll be able to chew the clock. And keeping the Washington defense on the field will wear them down and make moving the football much easier as the game goes on.

  • Garcia is given the chance to throw the ball rolling out Jeff Garcia is quicker then he's fast, but has good plant and throw outside of the pocket when rolling out. It will also give him the chance to see the entire field, something he won't be able to do in the face of a heavy Redskin rush, which is more then probable, because the San Francisco offensive line is struggling again.

  • Johnson faces different looks in the 49er secondary Johnson will have all day to throw, but if the 49ers wish to hang around they'll have him doing so into varied coverage. Johnson sees the field well and the only way to keep him on his toes will be to change coverages frequently, disguising the look of the secondary.

    The War Room edge
    The Redskins are going to be hungry after last week's heartbreaker at Indianapolis, but with Stephen Davis' ankle sprain leaving him uncertain for this week's game in San Francisco the Redskin offensive attack could be flying at half staff. If Davis does play, his role will be limited, so the 49er secondary will be able to focus more on the Washington passing game, but it shouldn't matter much. Garcia should be able to put up some big numbers if Garner's running well, but it will not be enough to overcome all of the points yielded by the San Francisco secondary. Washington will overcome the Niners by two touchdowns in a game filled with fireworks and big plays.

    The War RoomMaterial from The War Room.
    Visit their web site at http://www.nflwarroom.com


  •   ESPN INSIDER
    Copyright 1995-99 ESPN/Starwave Partners d/b/a ESPN Internet Ventures. All rights reserved. Do not duplicate or redistribute in any form. ESPN.com Privacy Policy. Use of this site signifies your agreement to the Terms of Service.