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Wednesday, October 13
War Room: Redskins at Cardinals


Washington offense vs. Arizona defense
REDSKINS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 8
Pass 4
Tot. Yds. 2
Scoring 1
Int's allowed 0
Sacks allowed 6
   
CARDINALS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 27
vs. Pass 1
Total yds. allowed 8
# of Ints. 6
# of Sacks 8
Turnover differential -10
Rookie WR David Boston used Saturday's game as an opportunity for his NFL coming-out party. Boston had 8 catches for 101 yards against New York and provided the vertical speed and big-play potential the Arizona offense has so sorely missed. Boston victimized veteran New York defensive back Phillipi Sparks for much of the game, and should become a force when the Cardinals get Moore back in the next two to three weeks.

Arizona QB Jake Plummer, prior to being knocked out of the game, had his best performance of the season. Plummer held on to the football, and didn't throw an interception. That performance will need to improve even more this week if the Cardinal offense is going to keep pace with the high-scoring Redskins, who are averaging 37.5 points per contest.

The key for Arizona will be to get RB Adrian Murrell the ball in situations where he can average better than the 2.3 yards per carry that he has averaged to this point in the season. The Cardinals' offensive line is partly to blame for the team's running woes, and help is on the way in the form of rookie LOT Lonnie "LJ" Shelton. Shelton has seen spot duty over the last two weeks and could see even more action against the Redskins. The Arizona coaching staff feels that an inexperienced but talented Shelton has more of an upside than Matt Joyce, who has started at LOT for most of the season. Arizona needs to establish the run, but this could be difficult as they may be playing from behind for much of the day.

The most marked improvement over last season on the defensive side of the ball for the Redskins has been the play of the team's front seven, which has been able to consistently pressure the passer over the course of the first four games. Second year LDE Kenard Lang has been a terror, and leads the team (and is tied for fourth in the NFL) with four sacks. This week, Lang will line-up opposite Arizona RDT Anthony Clement and will try to use his quickness to keep Clement off balance. Lang is slightly undersized, and can be a liability against the run, so expect Arizona to run right. Lang needs to use his hands to keep Clement away from his body, stalemate Clement at the point of attack, and use his lateral movement to keep Murrell from squaring his shoulders and running the ball upfield.

The play of Washington's corners, RDC Darrell Green and LDC Champ Bailey, has also been solid (aside from their Week 1 scorching at the hands of QB Troy Aikman). Bailey is the real deal, with great recover speed, which allows him to look into the backfield and take some risks. In passing situations, Bailey and Green have gotten a great deal of help in the team's nickel and dime packages from FS Matt Stevens and back-up CB Darryl Pounds, each of whom have two picks.

The Redskins will try to stack the line of scrimmage to take away an already anemic Arizona running game, put Bailey on Boston in an attempt to neutralize the Cards' lone big-play threat, and take their chances with the aging Green on Sanders. Green will likely get backside help from SS Sam Shade.

Arizona offense vs. Washington defense
CARDINALS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 29
Pass 27
Tot. Yds. 28
Scoring 26
Int's allowed 13
Sacks allowed 13
   
REDSKINS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 29
vs. Pass 31
Total yds. allowed 31
# of Ints. 7
# of Sacks 11
Turnover differential +3
The Redskins bring one of the most well-rounded offenses in the league to the field on Monday night. RB Stephen Davis has come out of nowhere to score 9 touchdowns and average 100 yards per rushing in his first four games. Davis is a bruising runner who wears out defenses as games progress, the perfect guy to have if you are playing with a lead. The way the 'Skins have been scoring points, it is pretty likely that they will be.

Coach Norv Turner has found the perfect mix between pass and run with this year's offense, and his team's ability to do both effectively is a direct outgrowth of the team's superior offensive line play. Things along the line have fallen into place perfectly.

The ROT was a huge question mark coming into the 1999 season, and rookie Jon Jansen has come in and played well from the first snap. Jansen is a punishing run blocker who continues to improve in pass protection. He should have his hands full this week as he is nursing a sprained MCL and will be matched up against Arizona LDE Andre Wadsworth - one of the most athletic DE's in the NFL. Wadsworth's quickness could present a match-up problem, so expect the Redskins to chip Wadsworth with Davis or FB Larry Centers. Arizona has two talented corners, so expect the team to load up against the run early, taking their chances on the deep ball.

The return of RDT Eric Swann has given the Cardinals' defense a much-needed boost. Swann's athleticism gives the team an aggressive push up the middle against both the pass and the run. Last week, with a healthy Swann the Cardinals limited the Giants' RB Gary Brown to 67 yards rushing. ROLB Zack Walz needs to step-up his level of play against the run, as he finished the game with only two tackles and continued to get pushed around by offensive linemen at the point of attack. Arizona needs to scheme so that Walz can play in space and use his athleticism to make plays.

Depending on the health of Washington TE Stephen Alexander, who is recovering from a back contusion, LOLB Rob Fredrickson could play a critical role in this game. Alexander has added a third big-play compliment to the WR tandem of Michael Westbrook and Albert Connell, and Fredrickson will have the primary responsibility of shutting him down.

Another key match-up is LDC Aeneas Williams against Westbrook. Williams has won these battles in the past, but with Connell emerging as a big-play threat in his own right, Williams will spend more of the game on an island, locked-up on Westbrook in single coverage.

Special teams
NFL RANK
Category WAS ARI
Punt return avg. 12 9
Kickoff return avg. 23 9
Opp. punt return avg. 6 12
Opp. kickoff ret. avg. 29 18
Time of possession 15 24
KR/PR Brian Mitchell is noticeably slowing in his 10th season but he has been on the verge of breaking a couple of long returns. Otherwide, the 'Skins special teams have been unimpressive. The team's kick cover unit has been solid but Arizona PR Mac Cody could have a big day. Washington PK Brett Conway has been solid, but his counterpart in Arizona, Chris Jacke, is struggling now that he's finally won the job from Joe Nedney.

Key matchups
  • Washington defensive coordinator Mike Nolan vs. Cardinals QB Jake Plummer
    As the Redskin defense has struggled, no one has enlisted the help of veteran Defensive "Guru" Bill Arnsbarger to help him fix the Redskin defense. Look for some new wrinkles against Plummer who finally go through a game last week without throwing an INT, but he only threw for 156 yards. This Eagle defense has talent, they just need to make more big plays.

  • Washington WRs Westbrook and Connell vs. Arizona DCs Chavous and Williams
    The Redskins are in a "zone" in the passing game, and although, Chavous and Williams are solid corners, they will bite on play fakes and they will give up big plays in the passing game. The key to their success is a better Cardinal pass rush by the front-seven.

  • Cardinal defensive front-four vs. Redskins QB Brad Johnson
    Johnson is one of the hottest QB's in the NFL because he has had time to throw the football and he is not getting hit a lot. If the Cardinal front-four does not put pressure on him, he will pick the Arizona secondary apart.

    Washington will win if...
  • They attack the Cardinal corners with their passing game. Washington should go right after Chavous and Williams on the perimeter with their deep passing game. They are solid players, but they are susceptible to the deep ball and playing from behind early is not what the Cardinals want to do.

  • Their defense pressures QB Jake Plummer and his mistakes continue. New Defensive Consultant Bill Arnsbarger will help Mike Nolan add some new twists that will make the Redskin defense less predictable and a little more explosive. Plummer played fairly well last week, but is still not putting up big numbers.

  • The Redskin OL can protect QB Brad Johnson. If Johnson has time to throw, he will pick the Cardinal secondary apart. Protection has been the key to his success so far, as it has allowed him to stay healthy and also allows his receivers to finish their routes.

    Arizona will win if...

  • They can get to QB Brad Johnson with their defensive front-four. Johnson is a brittle guy and the Cardinal front-four must rough him up a little bit. A good inside push on the pass rush will force him to scramble, which is not what he wants to do and will disrupt the flow of their passing game.

  • The Cardinal OL gives QB Jake Plummer time to throw and not force bad decisions. Although Plummer is a creative player, he must be able to sit in the pocket and let his receivers develop their routes. Most of his mistakes so far this season are results of being pressured into bad throws because he was running for his life.

  • They don't give up big plays early in the passing game and play from behind. Washington is a quick-strike offense that is capable of scoring points in bunches. The Cardinals cannot put themselves in a position to have to play from behind early, where Jake Plummer has to throw the football all the time and press. Arizona needs for this to be a fairly conservative low-scoring game, at least in the first half.

    The War Room edge
    This game will be closer than most people think. Although the Cards are struggling to put points on the board, their defense is slowly rounding into shape and will give Brad Johnson & Co. the best test they've had all year. Although he won't have a huge day against the Redskins' DCs, look for Jake Plummer to put things together this week and do enough for his team to win. Cards in a mild upset.

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