COMMUNITY
 Letters to Editor
Send a letter
BACKSTAGE
 The Magazine
ESPN Radio


 ALSO SEE
War Room: Week 6 previews

NFC: Moss grows uneasy



 SPORTS
NBA

NHL

M COLLEGE BB

W COLLEGE BB

GOLF

BASEBALL

NFL

COLLEGE FB

SOCCER

EXTREME SPORTS


Thursday, October 14
War Room: Vikings at Lions


Minnesota offense vs. Detroit defense
VIKINGS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 18
Pass 7
Tot. Yds. 7
Scoring 19
Int's allowed 8
Sacks allowed 12
   
LIONS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 19
vs. Pass 20
Total yds. allowed 18
# of Ints. 2
# of Sacks 10
Turnover differential -6
The Vikings' offense is reeling after last week's self-destruction against the Bears. Minnesota's players and coaching staff are not panicking because they realize their problems are due to lack of execution and not poor schemes or lack of effort.

The Bears were very successful targeting QB Randall Cunningham with the blitz on nearly half of the Vikings' passing downs. Whether it was RB Robert Smith missing a block, WR Jake Reed dropping a touchdown pass, or Cunningham making a misread that resulted in an interception, the Vikings were simply their own worst enemy.

The Vikings rolled up 445 yards total offense last week but scored only 22 points because of their failure to convert in the red-zone. Instead of coming away with touchdowns, coach Dennis Green's team settled for five Gary Anderson field goals. In fact, Minnesota leads the NFL in first downs but their inability to run the ball inside the 20 has dropped their red-zone efficiency to a disappointing 31 percent -- down from last year's average of 59 percent. They will look to turn things around this week against a Lions team that could line up without its top four defensive players.

DT Luther Ellis and MLB Stephen Boyd will almost surely be out and LDE Robert Porcher and LDC Bryant Westbrook will likely play at less than full strength. The Lions struggled to put pressure on San Diego's Erik Kramer last week, which forced its marginal secondary to hold coverage too long. The Lions will likely start Terry Fair on the right side, along with journeymen Robert Bailey and J.B. Brown against the Vikings' dreaded three-receiver base set.

Two key injuries could greatly impact the Vikings' passing game. Cunningham was slowed all week with a hip problem but should play and WR Cris Carter is less likely to go with a hip problem of his own. In any case, look for the Vikings to air it out and force the Lions' safeties to make plays on the long ball.

Minnesota ran the ball much better last week but they will be going up against a very physical Lions defense. The Vikings were surprised how physical the Bears played last week and they will get another dose this week.

Again, playing without two of the best run-stuffers in the league -- Ellis and Boyd -- the Lions will have a difficult time stopping the Vikings' running game. RB Smith, who helped the team rush for 160 yards on 22 carries last week, has typically enjoyed big games against Detroit. Of Smith's 16 career 100-yard rushing games, five have been against the Lions, including a 134-yard effort the last time the two teams met last October.

One positive sign last week for the Lions was the play of rookie OLB Chris Claiborne. After three subpar performances, Claiborne was much more active last week, registering four tackles and a fumble recovery.

Detroit offense vs. Minnesota defense
LIONS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 17
Pass 15
Tot. Yds. 18
Scoring 16
Int's allowed 6
Sacks allowed 19
   
VIKINGS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 18
vs. Pass 29
Total yds. allowed 28
# of Ints. 1
# of Sacks 9
Turnover differential -6
The Lions' offense continues to struggle without a running game. Coach Bobby Ross vowed to give Greg Hill a shot last week but the former Ram only got three carries. The Chargers held the Lions to 37 yards on 24 carries and there isn't much reason for optimism in Motown. Starting LOG Tony Semple could return this week but his presence is only a marginal upgrade. The Lions' short-yardage game was abysmal as well, due in large part to some suspect play-calling. On a key third down play early in the fourth quarter the Lions opted to run FB Corey Schlesinger on a toss sweep to the outside -- a call that resulted in a fumble return for a touchdown. That play typifies the Lions lack of offensive identity. They began the year as a smash-mouth, between-the-tackles unit but line struggles have prevented them continuing that trend.

The Vikings' run defense has been decent in the first five games, allowing an average of slightly less than 100 yards per game, and they will surely look to get inside penetration with ex-Lion DT Jerry Ball and UT Tony Williams. This duo did not play up to par last week against the Bears, letting Curtis Enis run out the clock late in the game. Although they combined for nine tackles, not enough plays were made behind the line of scrimmage.

All-Pro WR Herman Moore returns to the lineup on Sunday for the Lions and his presence should ease some of the Lions' offensive problems. Since he went down in the opener, the Lions have lacked a receiver that can beat press coverage and make tough catches underneath -- the kind that sustain scoring drives. Moore's biggest contributions will be made on third-down, where his veteran savvy will be too much for either Ramos McDonald or rookie Kenny Wright to handle. Vikings secondary coach Richie Solomon has a huge dilemma on his hands at the left corner spot, where neither McDonald nor Wright can sufficiently handle a starting assignment.

The key for Detroit, once again, will be their ability to protect QB Charlie Batch, who was sacked six times last week by the Chargers -- a total that would been closer to 12 if the Lions had an immobile player like Scott Mitchell in the pocket. Look for Minnesota to blitz plenty with their front seven but their struggles at cornerback will limit what they can do with SS Robert Griffith. If Batch doesn't want to spend another afternoon on his back, it will be imperative that he beats the blitz in the first quarter.

Special teams
NFL RANK
Category MIN DET
Punt return avg. 31 11
Kickoff return avg. 11 10
Opp. punt return avg. 10 19
Opp. kickoff ret. avg. 11 2
Time of possession 23 20
The one good thing that has come from the Vikings' red-zone struggles is the turnaround of PK Gary Anderson, who nailed five field goals last week. The Vikings have the clear advantage at punter, where Mitch Berger continues on a Pro-Bowl pace. Detroit P John Jett struggled a bit last week and he needs to start getting better control of his direction or Lion-killer David Palmer could hurt them on returns.

Lions' KR Terry Fair was held in check last week but after reviewing the film, he was one block away from breaking a couple of long returns. Miscues, such as Jimmy Kleinsasser's decision to pick up kickoff that was clearly on its way out of bounds (which cost the team 16 yards), are killing Minnesota's field position.

Key matchups
  • Detroit TE David Sloan vs. Minnesota OLB Corey Miller
    Lions offensive coordinator has all but ignored the use of tight end over the past two games and Sloan should be a much bigger weapon considering the lack of time QB Batch has in the pocket.

  • Minnesota RB Robert Smith vs. Detroit MLB Stephen Boyd
    Smith finally found some running room last week and his ability to run the football will take pressure off the passing game.

  • Detroit RDC Terry Fair vs. Minnesota WR Randy Moss
    After Fair's dismal performance last week, you can bet that the Vikings will target him on Sunday.

    Minnesota will win if...
  • QB Cunningham can find a way to beat the blitz. After last week's three interception performance, the Lions will go with a blitz-heavy scheme and the Vikings must find a way to beat the one-on-one matchups on the outside. It's been a combination of lousy blitz pickups by the backs, poor reads by Cunningham, and drops by receivers.

  • They get better play from their cornerbacks. McDonald and Hitchcock have been picked on all year because the they have consistently been caught gambling. Detroit welcomes back Herman Moore this week and he could be the difference this week.

  • They can take the crowd out of the game early. The Vikings have not had much success in the Silverdome in recent years but the building is far less intimidating if the crowd is taken out early. Lions fans headed to the gates early in the fourth quarter a week ago and are just looking for a reason to abandon this team.

    Detroit will win if...

  • The offensive line can give QB Batch time to do more than simply take the snap. Batch has faced a jailbreak the past two games and the Lions are fortunate he's still healthy enough to be in the lineup.

  • The defense can come up with a couple of big plays. The Lions have been unable to force many turnovers the past two seasons but they must force the issue with Cunningham on Sunday.

  • They diversify the offensive game plan. Detroit's play-calling last week was questionable on numerous occasions because they did not play to the individual strengths of their personnel.

    The War Room edge
    It will be interesting to see which struggling offense is able to work out its problems. The play of Detroit's offensive line has been atrocious the past two games and they must find a way to slow down Minnesota's aggressive pass rush.

    The Lions' defense played well enough to win last week but Minnesota will bring more weapons to field than San Diego did last week. The Vikings have dropped two at home thus far so stealing one on the road is a stretch for this shaken team. With a string of upcoming tough games, look for a desperate Detroit team to pull out the win.

    The War RoomMaterial from The War Room.
    Visit their web site at http://www.nflwarroom.com


  •   ESPN INSIDER
    Copyright 1995-99 ESPN/Starwave Partners d/b/a ESPN Internet Ventures. All rights reserved. Do not duplicate or redistribute in any form. ESPN.com Privacy Policy. Use of this site signifies your agreement to the Terms of Service.