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Wednesday, July 19
Updated: July 21, 10:00 AM ET
 
Holdouts restrict development, winning

By Brian A. Shactman
ESPN.com

In this era of hard-line contract negotiations, restricted free agency brings the ever-present possibility of key players holding out. Protracted holdouts can kill a team's season and seriously affect a player's development.

If a player misses training camp and even some games, it's unusual that he regains his form from the previous season. It takes 15-20 games just to get back into shape, and that doesn't leave a lot of time or opportunity to work toward improvement. More often than not, the season becomes a wash.

Byron Dafoe
Dafoe hurt both himself and his team with a long contract holdout.

As for the team, it doesn't have a key player in the lineup or in the locker room for a considerable period. The NHL regular season might not carry the significance of the 16-game NFL docket, but any coach whose team started slow will say losing games early can end the season before it hits the All-Star break.

And if you thought things were ugly last year with holdouts like those of Byron Dafoe and Keith Primeau, turn your head toward the coming months because there could be quite a few more this season.

NHL owners don't throw cash around willy-nilly anymore -- at least not outside of Manhattan -- yet the NHLPA and the game's stars haven't adjusted to the fact that money is no longer being doled out like rice after a wedding.

Some big names like Joe Sakic, John LeClair, Chris Osgood and Jere Lehtinen avoided the possibility and filed for arbitration, which will give them a one-year deal and ensure their presence in training camp.

For LeClair and Sakic, it is smart because they will be unrestricted free agents the following year. This way, their current teams have time to negotiate a long-term deal -- LeClair has already turned down a five-year, $25 million offer -- or the players can test the market next summer. A great position in which to be, assuming Sakic and LeClair remain healthy.

But there are some restricted free agents -- a free-agent classification which means their present teams can match any offers and receive compensation if they don't -- who have holdout written all over them. And two teams, Colorado and Boston, each have three integral team members potentially missing training camp.

The Avs have all the talent, chemistry and depth -- save for on the blue line -- to make another serious run at the Stanley Cup. But with Chris Drury, Milan Hejduk and Adam Deadmarsh all deserving -- and expecting -- major raises, it's not a risk to state that at least one of them isn't going to be happy come September.

The three of them combined for 183 points last season. Drury and Hejduk have only been in the league a short time, and a missed training camp would hinder the progress of the budding stars.

Meanwhile, things in Boston could be even worse because the team is coming off a terrible season in which the Bruins missed the playoffs and lost Ray Bourque. One of the major reasons for last year's disaster -- after an encouraging '98-99 -- was the holdout of goalie Byron Dafoe, and his subsequent play after return to the lineup. Dafoe didn't sign until late in October, and by that time, the damage had been done; the Bruins began the season 0-5-4 and never recovered. And Dafoe followed up his '98-99 season (1.99 GAA and 10 shutouts) with marginal numbers: 2.97 GAA and .889 save percentage.

Now, three of the team's most talented forwards -- Anson Carter, Sergei Samsonov and Joe Thornton -- are restricted free agents. All are young, talented and improving. Well, if Samsonov would shoot the puck, he would improve. If Bruins GM Harry Sinden, one of the league's toughest negotiators, doesn't have them signed or traded by Sept. 1, the season will be another train wreck; and Pat Burns may be gone by Thanksgiving -- the U.S. version of the holiday.

Beyond these cases, there are some other interesting names to monitor.

  • Jason Arnott: His 19-point playoff performance may have elevated his status to a new height. It will be interesting to see how Lou Lamoriello and YankeesNets deal with the big forward, who along with Petr Sykora and Patrik Elias, is part of one of the league's best offensive lines.

  • Chris Simon: Look what he did when he was healthy, clean and out of the penalty box. Simon scored 29 goals in 75 games -- both career highs. Simon is 28 and should command a multiyear deal.

  • Brian Boucher: He had a phenomenal year and may ask for upwards of $1 million per season. If he gets that much now, and continues to play at a high level, he will be the highest paid goalie in hockey seven years from now.

  • Felix Potvin: The beleaguered goalie finally regained his form and confidence in Vancouver. So, does it mean he's worth at least the $2.7 million he earned last season? For the Canucks -- and for Potvin -- he should sign, help the Canucks' youth develop and try to build on his first decent stretch of hockey in two years.

    In the end, players cannot be blamed for going after all they can get. But especially with players under 25-years of age, there is a long-term component; and in an odd way, never missing training camp or games when healthy may even increase a player's long-term earning potential.

    Key restricted free agents
    Name (Position) Team '99-00 salary '99-00 stats
    Jason Arnott (RW) Devils $1.8 million 76, 22-34-56
    Radek Bonk (C) Senators $800,000 80, 23-37-60
    Brian Boucher (G) Flyers $450,000 33, 20-10-3, 1.91
    Anson Carter (C) Bruins $850,000 59, 22-25-47
    Adam Deadmarsh (RW) Avalanche $1.8 million 71, 18-27-45
    Chris Drury (C) Avalanche $640,000 82, 20-47-67
    Milan Hejduk (RW) Avalanche $690,000 82, 36-36-72
    John LeClair (LW) Flyers $3,969,123 82, 40-37-77
    Jere Lehtinen (LW) Stars $1.5 million 17, 3-5-8
    Scott Niedermayer (D) Devils $3,250,000 71, 7-31-38
    Sandis Ozolinsh (D) Hurricanes $4 million 82, 16-36-52
    Felix Potvin (G) Canucks $2.7 million 55, 17-27-10, 2.83
    Sergei Samsonov (LW) Bruins $925,000 77, 19-26-45
    Steve Shields (G) Sharks $700,000 65, 27-30-8, 2.56
    Chris Simon (LW) Capitals $1.32 million 75, 29-20-49
    Joe Thornton (C) Bruins $925,000 81, 23-37-60
    Doug Weight (C) Oilers $4.3 million 77, 21-51-72

    Brian A. Shactman is the NHL Editor for ESPN.com.





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