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Tuesday, November 23 Updated: November 24, 12:47 PM ET War Room: Dolphins at Cowboys The War Room |
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Editor's note: This is a sneak peek at an in-depth NFL game preview from The War Room, an ESPN.com associate partner. The rest of the War Room previews are available to ESPN.com Insiders. Click here to sign up. Miami offense vs. Dallas defense
Teams are no longer going to be able to gang up against the run and pinch inside to force Huard to make the throws outside, because Marino will exploit that scheme. The biggest advantage to having Marino back is his presence. The Cowboys are forced to respect his arm and will back off some on the pressure to give themselves more personnel to work with in coverage. Another significant aspect of this matchup is the depletion of the Cowboy's secondary. Defensive coordinator Dave Campo is being forced to back SS Darren Woodson off into deep coverage instead of playing him close to the line of scrimmage in run support. Now, instead of going to their "42" defense, which features just four defensive backs and Woodson in the slot against three-receiver sets, the Cowboys are being forced to bring in nickel corner Charlie Williams. When the Dolphins spread things out with three- and four-receiver sets they can run the ball strongside against Williams, rather than SLB Darren Hambrick. The Dolphins are without Cecil Collins for the rest of the season, but as witnessed last week in J.J. Johnson's 106-yard rushing performance against the Patriots, Miami is fully capable of establishing the run. In fact, against the undersized and active front of the Cowboys, Johnson's running style is better suited. Johnson is a powerful runner with great balance and leg drive. He is not much of a threat to bounce it outside and pick up big chunks of yardage, but he will wear down the Cowboys in the box. If Marino gets his feet wet and can make some throws early in the game, it will force the Cowboys into nickel personnel against the three-receiver set. Watch this situation closely, because this is when the Dolphins should be most successful running the ball to the strong side, right at the Cowboys nickel corner who will be covering in the slot.
Dallas offense vs. Miami defense
This is a very simple offensive scheme that is designed to win the game by running the ball, then catching defenses out of position with the pass when the the defense overplays the run. However, against a Miami defense that is known for its speed and corner play, the Cowboys are going to have a difficult time keeping up their average of 130.9 yards rushing per game. The Cowboys are without LG Larry Allen but still have the horses up front to generate a push at the line of scrimmage. Tom Myslinski moves into Allen's spot and will be aided by his center Mark Stepnoski against DT Daryl Gardener. The Cowboys have been running the ball effectively inside the tackles. They are using a lot of zone-blocking schemes, which has played to the strength of veteran RB Emmit Smith, a patient runner who still has excellent burst to the hole. The Cowboys clearly favor running a lot of counters and misdirection, giving Smith the ball five yards behind the line and allowing him to pick his angle and crease. Up front, the Cowboys should be able to generate a surge, but the problem for Dallas is going to be in the numbers. Miami, as everyone knows, will lock CBs Sam Madison and Terrell Buckley on WRs Ernie Mills and Raghib Ismail, most likely taking the wide receivers out of the game. This allows FS Brock Marion and SS Calvin Jackson to pinch towards the middle of the field, taking away the underneath and deep middle, as well as cheating up in run support. It is amazing, when studying this defense, how much room the Dolphins give up to the outside. Dallas is going to have to be able to do a couple of things in order to move the ball. First, Aikman needs to get the ball to his tight end and backs out of the backfield. With so much room in the flats, the Cowboys are going to have to get production from their dump-off options in the passing game. Also, the Cowboys need to stretch the field to run the football. Dallas is going to have to run a lot of four receiver sets and motion the tight end off the line. Dallas is confident its personnel up front can open up running lanes, but in order to do so they need to have the right numbers. If Dallas can force the Dolphins into nickel packages on some first and second downs, it will force Miami to stretch its defense out and play more honest against the run.
Special teams
Toby Gowin is off to a fine start for the Cowboys, averaging 44.1 yards per punt, but he has allowed more than 36 percent of his punts to be returned. Deion Sanders has been banged up but is still third in the league in punt returns, averaging 14.6 yards per return. A concern for the Dallas special teams unit is the play of their punt coverage crew. The team is allowing 12.1 yards per return and has already given up a touchdown.
Key matchups
Ellis is an impressive athlete, having a big year as a pass rusher as well as against the run. Brown has all the physical tools, but he has a tendency to play sluggish and has been getting eaten up by faster, more aggressive defensive ends. In Dan Marino's return, it is crucial that Brown handle this matchup and protect his quarterback's frontside.
Smith is a solid veteran who has lost a step but is still extremely effective in coverage. The Cowboys will look to man-up on the Dolphin receivers in order to get better help from their safeties in run support. McDuffie is getting a lot more room this season to operate underneath because of the deep presence of WR Tony Martin. This matchup will be crucial for the Dolphins, because it will dictate their ability to sustain drives and pick up first downs in the passing game.
This is a marquee matchup because of Adams' ability to shut down his opponent and Taylor's speed as a pass rusher. Taylor has the advantage in quickness, but he needs to avoid the reach of the mauling offensive tackle. This matchup will come down to Adams' ability to get off the ball and get in good position to reach Taylor off the edge.
Miami will win if...
Dallas will win if...
The War Room edge
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