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| Thursday, September 21 Fancy passing doesn't mean a championship By Russell S. Baxter Special to ESPN.com |
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One year after coming out of nowhere and leading his team to a Super Bowl championship, Rams quarterback Kurt Warner has us all talking again. Last season, the former Arena Football League star took over the starting job late in the summer, threw 41 touchdowns (third most in a season in NFL history) and won league and Super Bowl XXXIV Most Valuable Player honors. This year, Warner may be on his way to obliterating the NFL record for passing yards in a season (5,084) set by Miami's Dan Marino in 1984. After three weeks, the St. Louis signal-caller has thrown for an amazing 1,221 yards, far ahead of Marino's numbers (841) after three games in '84. And despite a 3-0 start for the defending champions, their contests (41-36, 37-34 and 41-24) look like true Arena Football scores thanks to a defensive unit that has been extremely porous. Still, do all of those passing yards add up to a championship? Take a look at the Top 10 performances in NFL history in terms of passing yards by a player in a season, and where their teams wound up by year's end. Only Marino in 1984 made it as far as the Big Game, and the Dolphins were blown out by the 49ers, 38-16, in Super Bowl XIX.
Many times, there's a reason quarterbacks are throwing for all of those yards, due mainly to the fact that they don't have a defense to support their cause. A look at the aforementioned 10 teams in terms of total yards allowed per game and their defensive ranks those seasons clearly shows this.
Notice that not one of those teams finished in the Top 5 in the league in terms of total defense, and 6 of the 10 finished in the bottom half of the rankings. Yes, Warner and his team have been fun to watch so far this season. But there's no guarantee we'll be watching the Rams on Super Bowl Sunday in January. Russell S. Baxter is the chief NFL researcher for ESPN and a senior reporter for ESPN the Magazine.
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