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Thursday, September 14
Updated: September 15, 2:39 PM ET
 
Early indicators a very good sign

By Russell S. Baxter
Special to ESPN.com

Getting off to a fast start never hurts. Getting off to a slow start usually hurts a lot. And that's why there are 9 teams in the National Football League feeling good about themselves, and 8 clubs (possibly 10) knowing they could be in for a long season. Take a look at the teams that have opened the 2000 campaign either 2-0 or 0-2.

2-0: Baltimore, Buffalo, Detroit, Minnesota, N.Y. Giants, N.Y. Jets, Oakalnd, St. Louis, Tampa Bay.

0-2: Chicago, Dallas, Green Bay, Kansas City, San Diego, San Francisco, Seattle, New England (Pittsburgh and Cincinnati are 0-1).

We point this out because of the eight teams that opened the '99 season with a pair of wins, only Pittsburgh and New England failed to make the playoffs. More importantly, of the eight teams that opened 0-2 last season, none made it to the postseason party. You would not think that this early indicator would be so important, but it has held up well throughout the years.

Over the previous 12 seasons (1988-99), 70-of-94 teams (.745) that have opened 2-0 have made the playoffs. Conversely, only 14-of-94 teams (.149) that have opened 0-2 have gone onto the playoffs, only four of those clubs (in bold) won division titles (the other 10 were Wild Card Teams) and only two have gone onto the Big Game -- the Cowboys winning Super Bowl XXVIII and the Patriots making it to Super Bowl XXXI.

0-2 and in the playoffs (1988-99)
Year Team Start Record
1998 Arizona 0-2 9-7
1998 Buffalo 0-3 10-6
1998 N.Y. Jets 0-2 12-4
1996 New England 0-2 11-5
1995 Detroit 0-3 10-6
1994 New England 0-2 10-6
1993 Pittsburgh 0-2 9-7
1993 Dallas 0-2 12-4
1992 San Diego 0-4 11-5
1991 Atlanta 0-2 10-6
1990 Philadelphia 0-2 10-6
1990 New Orleans 0-2 8-8
1990 Houston 0-2 9-7
1989 Pittsburgh 0-2 9-7

Of the 24 teams to go to the last 12 Super Bowls, 19 have started 2-0, two have started 0-2 and three have started 1-1. The last time there was a Super Bowl without at least one team that got off to a 2-0 start was Super Bowl XXII, when neither Denver (1-0-1) nor Washington (1-1) opened the strike-interrupted season of 1987 with a pair of victories.

Russell S. Baxter in an NFL researcher at ESPN





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