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Special teams, home field are important
By Joe Theismann
ESPN.com

Two things that seemed to matter the most during the first round of the playoffs were home-field advantage and special-teams play. The home team survived in all but Green Bay, where the Packers encountered the Michael Vick factor. Special teams, however, had an impact on every game. Pittsburgh's Antwaan Randle El returned a kick for a touchdown after fumbling on his previous attempt. The Giants missed two field-goal opportunities to help the 49ers. The Jets' Chad Morton returned the opening kickoff of the second half 70 yards. The Falcons scored 14 points off a blocked punt and fumbled punt to hand Green Bay its first-ever home playoff loss. I can't emphasize enough the importance of special teams. And I expect special teams to have an effect on the outcome of the divisional playoff games as well. Here is my take on all four games:

Pittsburgh at Tennessee -- Saturday, 4:30 p.m. ET
The Titans and the Steelers are no longer in the same division but they know each other well. After a week off, Tennessee will have a healthy Steve McNair and a healthier Eddie George. But I don't believe the Titans will have success running the football.
Steve McNair
McNair
The game will be all about McNair, through the air and on the ground. The Titans have changed their personality and are now McNair's team. The Titans will need to throw the ball to beat Pittsburgh. But does spreading the field fit into what the Titans can do? The Steelers gave up 33 points against the Browns and showed how important Chad Scott was in his absence. The Browns went after backup cornerback Hank Poteat and got big plays. Rich Gannon, Tom Brady and Kelly Holcomb threw for a lot of yards against the Steelers, but don't be fooled. The Steelers are a difficult team to play. If Steelers defensive coordinator Tim Lewis gets a chance, he will bring blitzes from a number of different places and try to force McNair to make mistakes throwing the ball around. At the same time, the Titans have the ability to pressure Tommy Maddox, who returns to the scene where he suffered a severe concussion this season. He will get his shots, and he needs to convert them to Hines Ward and Plaxico Burress. I don't see the Steelers wanting to keep the game close.

Atlanta at Philadelphia -- Saturday, 8 p.m. ET
I have to put a question mark beside the Eagles' offense, and not just because Donovan McNabb will play for the first time in eight weeks. The Falcons play a 3-4 defense, a scheme that only a few NFL teams use. The Eagles saw it once earlier in the season against Houston, but the Falcons play it better than the Texans. In a 3-4, a defense can get people two or three steps closer to the receivers than normal. And remember, Andy Reid coached in Green Bay. His offense won't be much different from what Atlanta saw last week at Lambeau Field.
Donovan McNabb
McNabb
With McNabb back at quarterback, I expect the Eagles to get more yards running the ball. But I want to see how he throws the ball early in the game. Although McNabb should get better as the game goes on, you can't simulate timing, pocket comfort, the decision process and the speed of the game in practice. It will take time for McNabb to get up to speed. After winning in Green Bay, the Falcons are in great shape mentally going to Philadelphia. They won't be facing the magic of Brett Favre or the ghosts of Lambeau Field -- just terrible Veteran Stadium. One thing to remember about young quarterbacks such as Michael Vick: He won't be intimidated because he doesn't know any better. He has no history of failure, so he won't expect anything but success. Eagles defensive coordinator Jim Johnson likes to blitz and have his cornerbacks play man-to-man on the outside. But the Giants, Seahawks and Colts were able to run on the Eagles because their defense leaves creases. If the defensive backs are in single coverage and safety Brian Dawkins takes a shot and doesn't get him, Vick will have a lot of room to run. The Eagles have to take Warrick Dunn and T.J. Duckett out of the game, but Vick's legs will make the difference. The way Atlanta loses is if Vick fumbles or throws interceptions. The Eagles need to make him hold the ball. I spoke to Bears defensive coordinator Greg Blache about Vick, and he said you have to treat Vick like he's Barry Sanders. Take a shot, get up off the ground, and wait a little bit because he will probably come back your way. That will be important in the way the Eagles try to defend him.

San Francisco at Tampa Bay -- Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
Following their come-from-behind victory over the Giants, the 49ers' psyche shouldn't be any different against the Bucs. Yes, it was a great comeback, but players are professionals. They are paid to win football games, just like the officials are paid to do a good job. The game is over, and the Bucs are next.
Jeff Garcia
Garcia
As he showed last week, Jeff Garcia can run around and make plays. He was ticked off that the 49ers waited until they got behind by 24 points to go to the no-huddle offense. Garcia functions at his best in the no-huddle, and I don't believe the 49ers will be able to run the ball against Tampa Bay. So the burden is placed on Garcia and the 49ers' receivers. The Bucs are able to play more zone and be more efficient with their speedy linebackers, who can help against the 49ers' short routes. But how do they deal with Terrell Owens? They have to hit him. When he catches the short passes, they can't give up any big plays. The Bucs' front four will be the key. If they can force Garcia to run around, the Bucs should have the players in coverage who are fast enough to make plays. With Brad Johnson coming back from his back injury, I expect nine- and 10-play drives. The Giants were able to exploit the 49ers' weakness at cornerback, but San Francisco has to feel good about its corners being able to run with the Bucs' receivers. Still, Keenan McCardell will have a chance to make plays. The Bucs also need to throw the ball down the field and let Keyshawn Johnson make plays around the goal line. At the same time, Bucs coach Jon Gruden will want to run the football, even though his offensive line is beat up. And time of possession will be important to the Bucs, who need to keep the ball out of Garcia's hands.

NY Jets at Oakland -- Sunday, 4:30 p.m. ET
The Jets and the Raiders might be the two best teams in the playoffs. Three years ago I felt the winner of the Buffalo-Tennessee playoff game (which ended with "The Music City Miracle") would represent the AFC in the Super Bowl, and I feel the same way about the Jets-Raiders game.
Chad Pennington
Pennington
Even though they played Indianapolis, the worst team in the playoffs, the Jets look like the best team going. They seem now to understand how good they can be. The Jets and the Raiders, with Paul Hackett and Marc Trestman as the offensive coordinators, respectively, run similar West Coast-type offenses that are well-balanced. The game features the league's two hottest quarterbacks, Rich Gannon of Oakland and Chad Pennington of the Jets. But the difference is that the Jets have speed to attack down the field. They have quick receivers in Laveranues Coles, Santana Moss and Wayne Chrebet. Plus, Curtis Martin is getting healthy, and Richie Anderson can be a valuable receiver out of the backfield. They will pose a number of problems for the Raiders, who will benefit from the return of cornerback Charles Woodson. Jerry Porter will be the key for Oakland because he is the Raiders' lone power receiver down the field. He has the speed to go up top and the strength to come down with the catch. For the Jets, the player to watch is Moss due to his punt-return ability. And as we have already seen in the first round of the playoffs, special teams make a big difference.

A game analyst for ESPN's Sunday Night Football, former NFL QB Joe Theismann won a Super Bowl and a league MVP award. He reviews the NFL each week for ESPN.com in Cup o' Joe.


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