McNabb's health just one thing to watchBy John Clayton ESPN.com Until this weekend, the NFC had been a predictable conference. Except for the fall of the Rams and Bears, the NFC regular season followed its expected script. Jon Gruden slightly upgraded a slow offense and won the new NFC South. The Eagles, as expected, won the East. Green Bay dominated the new NFC North. With the Rams down, the 49ers finally captured the NFC West. Next weekend, the NFC will either follow a logical pattern or go crazy as it did during the divisional playoff weekend. The Eagles and Buccaneers are the top seeds and will be heavy favorites. The Bucs have the league's best defense, a unit that, particularly against the pass, can stack up against some of the great defenses of all-time. The Eagles have the blend of a great blitzing defense to go with a West Coast offense so sound that third-string quarterback, A.J. Feeley can escort the team into the playoffs. But the playoffs started with upsets and surprises in the NFC. The Falcons blew out the Packers, 27-7, Saturday night. The 49ers needed the second biggest comeback in NFL playoff history (24 points) to beat the fifth-seeded Giants, 39-38. 49ers receiver Terrell Owens said that receivers coach George Stewart brought stories to position meetings last week that detailed other teams in the playoffs as contenders but the 49ers as pretenders. Starting next week, everyone finds out for sure, and here are 10 things to watch: 1. The Falcons cornerback tandem of Ray Buchanan and Ashley Ambrose sometimes dictates how well the defense will do. If they feel confident about their matchup, the Falcons can be difficult to score against. The Eagles' pass-receiving unit won't strike fear into Buchanan and Ambrose. Todd Pinkston is potent but skinny. Antonio Freeman can give most defenses problems coming off the bench and going across the middle, but it's a matchup in which the Falcons won't be backing down.
2. The Eagles can't physically intimidate the Falcons' 3-4 defensive scheme. Though the Eagles have the ability to pound the ball straight ahead behind powerful tackles Tra Thomas and Jon Runyan, the Eagles prefer hitting running plays on angles and working screen and short passes to Duce Staley. The Falcons ranked 19th defensively giving up 333 yards a game. They tend to bend but not break. 3. Falcons quarterback Michael Vick grew up as a fan of Steve Young and Randall Cunningham so it will give him a few flashbacks of watching Cunningham run around in Veterans Stadium. Vick certainly wasn't intimidated playing in Lambeau Field on Saturday. In fact, he was amazingly calm. His biggest worry is a talented Eagles secondary that offers some of the best and most complicated zone blitzes in the game. Vick isn't going to risk throwing the ball much into the Eagles secondary. They will prefer mixing outside running plays by Vick with inside runs by Warrick Dunn and T.J. Duckett. 4. The biggest question is how rusty Donovan McNabb will be after missing most of the second half of the season with his broken ankle. Before breaking the ankle, McNabb wasn't as accurate as a thrower in games in which he ran the ball. Expect McNabb to be more of a pocket passer in this game. His ankle will still be sore, and the cold weather and hard turf won't help. Still, if he can work his three- and five-step drops and step up into the pocket to make his throws, he could give the Falcons' zone defense a lot of problems. 5. Thanks to the return of Duckett, the Falcons' red zone production improved against the Packers after five weeks of poor play. Duckett, at 255 pounds, is 75 pounds heavier than Warrick Dunn. It's hard for one or two defenders to bring him down on first impact. Though Dunn is the featured and more explosive back, Duckett has the ability to wear down a defense. Of course, he has never faced a middle linebacker as big and as strong as 300-pounder Levon Kirkland. 1. The interesting decision for 49ers coach Steve Mariucci will be whether or not to mix in some no-huddle offense against the Bucs. The no-huddle brought the 49ers some long-awaited energy and rhythm on offense during their 24-point comeback against the Giants. They won't have as easy a time wearing down the Bucs defensive line as they did the Giants. The Bucs line is built on quickness and durability. Still, the no-huddle is an interesting option.
2. Coming off his back problems, Brad Johnson can't afford to take too many hits. Of course, he is playing behind one of the shakiest offensive lines in football. Johnson might be a standing target, but the 49ers haven't been getting consistent heat on quarterbacks. This might be the right matchup for the Bucs' offense and the perfect team for Johnson to play coming off his problems. 3. The 49ers pass defense knew it dodged the bullet against the Giants. Cornerback Jason Webster couldn't play because of an ankle injury. Ahmed Plummer, the team's best cornerback, was beaten for 10 consecutive passes because he was playing with a groin injury. Zack Bronson, returned for the first time since October but he had trouble down the stretch because his foot was sore. Don't you think Keyshawn Johnson will try to be physical with this unit. 4. The 49ers are really banged up along their offensive line and they could be overpowered by the Bucs defensive line. Left tackle Derrick Deese can barely make it through games because of his high ankle sprain. Right guard Ron Stone couldn't finish because of an ankle sprain that might be a little worse. With them out, the 49ers could be using two rookies along the line -- guards Kyle Kosier and Erick Heitmann. Not good matchups against Warren Sapp and the guys. 5. Should the Bucs take the lead, will their lack of a running game come back to haunt them? The Bucs averaged only 97.3 yards a game on the ground. Still, the 49ers defensive line is light. Sound to me, that the second-half answer might be the power and domination of Mike Alstott. Michael Pittman is more dangerous as a pass-catcher out of the backfield, but he's doesn't break many big plays doing that. With the lead, the Bucs might be in good hands with Alstott. John Clayton is a senior NFL writer for ESPN.com. |
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