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Monday, June 3
 
Differing opinions on top four receivers

By Len Pasquarelli
ESPN.com

While the post-June 1 free-agent market figures to be modest in both quantity and quality, the position that should attract the most interest is wide receiver. At least four high-profile veteran receivers will be available.

As is the case at any position, though, beauty is in the eye of the beholder. ESPN.com surveyed seven NFL personnel directors and coaches about the four wide receivers available in the post-June 1 market. The cross section of opinions was interesting.

Because it's uncertain whether the Cincinnati Bengals will release Darnay Scott -- the team will likely seek to reduce his salary first -- he was not included in the survey.

Here is the consensus evaluation on the wide receivers:

  • Keenan McCardell (Jacksonville): At age 31 last year (he turned 32 in January), the 10-year veteran posted his fourth 80-reception season and went over 1,000 yards for the fourth time in his career. His 93 catches put him in the top 10 again, and his 1,110 yards were bested by only 15 receivers.

    Part of McCardell's success in Jacksonville was his symbiotic relationship with partner Jimmy Smith. That will be difficult to duplicate no matter where he goes. It would be unfair, however, to inextricably link McCardell's career statistics to his complementary bond with Smith. He still knows how to get open, runs precise routes, and gets separation with guile now and not speed.

    Since 1996, McCardell has averaged 83.2 catches per year, most among the four players in question. His seven seasons of 50-plus catches also ranks first. "But a lot is going to depend on where he winds up, because he's kind of a systems guy," said the personnel chief for one AFC team.

    Much could also depend on money, since McCardell has been telling confidants that he thinks he is deserving of the kind of signing bonus ($5.5 million) Kansas City awarded free agent wide receiver Johnnie Morton earlier this spring.

    One negative is that while McCardell registers first downs, he doesn't score a lot of touchdowns. His career average of one touchdown catch for every 15.2 receptions is the worst of the four veteran wide receivers. Notable is that McCardell, who does not possess great speed, has never scored more than six touchdowns in a season. In his four 1,000-yard seasons, he averaged just 4.75 touchdown catches.

    His 13.0-yard average per catch is the worst of the group, but McCardell remains a true leader in the locker room, which might be a big factor for a team like Houston. And he could be the reliable receiver that Tim Couch has lacked in Cleveland as well.

  • Antonio Freeman (Green Bay): The youngest of the quartet at 30, Freeman seems to have the best chance in the group of being more than a one-year quick fix. While his receptions have declined every season since he posted 84 catches in 1998 -- to 74 (1999), to 62 (2000) and then to 52 (2001) -- so did the number of times the Packers threw him the ball.

    Antonio Freeman

    Interested teams will have to decipher this chicken-and-egg conundrum: Have the former Virginia Tech star's opportunities been reduced because he doesn't see the ball enough, or is he less a target for Brett Favre now because he can't get open?

    "He's lost a half-step and he doesn't fight as hard through the initial jam," said one NFC receivers assistant whose team will pursue Freeman in free agency. "Plus he doesn't have that same 'glide quality' we saw early in his career. But we think he can still play, be a 70-catch guy, score nine or 10 touchdowns. Two or three years ago, he looked tired, like he had hit the wall. His legs are back a little now. He's bounced back better than some people think he has."

    Undeniable, even as his receptions have declined, is that Freeman still knows how to get the ball to the end zone. He has averaged a touchdown every 7.3 receptions for his career, far superior to any of the other three free agent receivers. Even the past two years, when Freeman had 114 catches, he still posted 15 touchdowns, one every 7.6 receptions.

    His average of 15.6 yards per catch is second among the foursome, trailing only that of Derrick Alexander. In fact, in 2001 he averaged 15.7 yards, in what was regarded as a poor season. Freeman has averaged 68.2 catches since 1996, second only to McCardell, and he has three campaigns of 1,000 yards or more, although the most recent was in 1999.

  • Derrick Alexander (Kansas City): That the Chiefs are releasing Alexander and still plan to pursue another free agent wide receiver like McCardell speaks volumes about the lack of regard the coaching staff has for his allegedly suspect work habits. This is not strictly a financially related move, not by a long shot, since Kansas City will realize only a modest $750,000 in salary-cap relief for 2002.

    That said, there is a group of four or five teams queuing up for a shot at Alexander, and the Minnesota Vikings are at the front of the line. Don't be surprised if there is a quick agreement with the Vikings, who visited with Alexander last month and put him through a physical exam.

    Alexander is an eight-year veteran, 30 and still runs well. It is that deep speed and long stride, which have resulted in an impressive career average of 17.0 yards a catch, that most attract teams. Even last year, when he was plagued by a nagging abdominal injury that limited him to 11 starts, Alexander averaged 17.4 yards per reception.

    There is a suspicion, though, that Alexander is a bit too brittle. Some clubs also feel that he doesn't play as tough as his size (6-feet-2, 206 pounds) indicate he should, and there are more than a few rumors about his poor practice ethic.

    The former University of Michigan star is the only player in this group of four who has not posted at least one 80-catch season in the NFL. And one has to wonder if his play in 2000, when he had career bests in catches (78), yards (1,391) and touchdowns (10), was just a late-career aberration.

    After all, Alexander had consecutive nine-touchdown years with Baltimore in 1996-97, but he has only 19 TD grabs in the four ensuing seasons. Take away the 10 scores in 2000 and that's an average of only three touchdown grabs in the three other seasons.

  • Herman Moore (Detroit): The oldest of the foursome at 32, it will be interesting to see how much action Moore generates in the open market. With 670 career receptions and three consecutive seasons with 100-plus catches (1995-97), Moore certainly has the numbers on his résumé.

    Unfortunately, he also has lot of mileage on his wheels.

    "He's going to have to go in and work out for teams and show them that he can still play and, maybe more important, that he can stay healthy," said one NFC head coach.

    Because of injuries, Moore has appeared in only 26 games the past three seasons, and he has just 60 receptions in that stretch. By comparison, he had six straight seasons of 60 catches or more before being beset by injuries, and he averaged 91.3 grabs in 1993-98. His average of 58.7 receptions a year since 1996 is still higher than Alexander's 56.7.

    A class act off the field, Moore might be of interest to a team seeking a big locker-room presence or to a franchise that wants a veteran to work with its youngsters. At this point in his career, Moore at best might be able to catch on as a No. 3 wideout. He can't be a No. 4 because that would require playing special teams, and he can't fill that role.

    Len Pasquarelli is a senior writer for ESPN.com.







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