Nancy Lieberman

W COLLEGE BB
Scores
Schedules
Rankings
Standings
Statistics
Message Board
ESPN MALL
TeamStore
ESPN Auctions
SPORT SECTIONS
Sunday, March 16
Updated: March 19, 10:48 AM ET
 
Breaking down the bracket

By Nancy Lieberman
Special to ESPN.com

The 2003 NCAA Tournament is as wide open as it has ever been. There is no clear-cut favorite, and everybody thinks they have a chance to win.

A look at some of the storylines that emerged as the 64-team bracket was unveiled Sunday:

Toughest region: West
This one is a no-brainer as the West is clearly the strongest conference. Ten of the region's 16 teams are ranked -- or have been ranked at some point during this season -- in the top-25 polls. The region features LSU (which beat Tennessee in the SEC final), Texas (Big 12 regular-season and tournament champion), surging Ohio State and Washington and and perennial powers Stanford and Louisiana Tech. And if the Cardinal advances to the Sweet 16, somebody will have to beat Stanford on its home court, where it has won 25 consecutive games at Maples Pavilion, to reach Atlanta.

The coaches also add to the intrigue. Sue Gunter has well over 600 wins. Jody Conradt is at 800-plus. Tara VanDerveer has 500 and counting. Gary Blair has more than 400 wins. Jim Foster also has a ton, and it probably won't take Kurt Bukde too long to get there after inheriting such a rich program at Louisiana Tech. Simply put, this conference features some of the finest coaches in the game. It will be fun to watch these masters go to work, trying to out coach one another and devise game plans.

Path of least resistance: Tennessee in the Mideast
With no disrespect to Penn State, Villanova or North Carolina, the Lady Vols look like the team to beat in the Mideast. All Tennessee has to do is take care of business and follow the "orange-brick" road. With the Lady Vols hosting a subregional as well as the Mideast Region semifinals and final, Tennessee could qualify all the way to Atlanta without leaving the friendly confines of Thompson-Boling Arena.

In addition to Tennessee's 40-0 home record in NCAA Tournament games, the Lady Vols have something else in their favor: The Mideast probably has the least amount of NCAA Tournament-experienced teams.

LaToya Thomas
Thomas
Alana Beard
Beard
Dream matchup down the line:
Beard vs. Thomas

It's a long way off, and wouldn't even happen until the Elite Eight. But two of the top three players in the country could square off in the Midwest final if top-seeded Duke and Alana Beard and third-seeded Mississippi State and LaToya Thomas each win their next three games. Beard vs. Thomas would be one of the most marquee matchups ever to clash in the NCAA Tournament. Thomas is virtually unstoppable, and so far, nobody has been able to guard her. But Beard is regarded as the best defensive player in the country, and although she's a little undersized, this matchup between two Kodak All-American and national player of the year candidates could be among the highlights of this year's tournament.

Runner-up: Another intriguing Elite Eight battle? That would be No. 1 seed Tennessee vs. second-seeded Villanova in the Mideast final. During the offseason, after seeking advice from several of her peers, Lady Vols coach Pat Summitt implemented a new motion offense. One of the main people Summitt talked to about the new system? Villanova coach Harry Perretta, whose Wildcats snapped UConn's NCAA Division I record 70-game winning streak in the Big East final.

Best first-round game: (8) Virginia vs. (9) Illinois
This Mideast matchup between a pair of teams who got here via at-large berths should be a really interesting game. These are two storied programs and well-respected coaches. Virginia, one of the tournament's biggest bubble teams, played well down the stretch, tightening up its defense and improving on its rotations. The Cavs are a pretty good scoring team and proved they can beat solid teams such as North Carolina -- if the Cavs are hitting on all cylinders.

Runner-up: (8) Utah vs. (9) DePaul, Midwest. These are two very different types of teams. DePaul likes to run and gun, push and press and get 100 shots off a game. Utah, meanwhile, is very selective, always looking for the extra pass and the 3-point shot. The Utes, who are led by freshman Kim Smith, focus on playing the game very intelligently; DePaul plays more of a blue-collar style.

Random observations

  • Hard road for Huskies: The West is clearly the toughest region, but Connecticut won't have an easy time in the East. Second-seeded Purdue, No. 3 seed Kansas State and fourth-seeded Vanderbilt are each very experienced teams that have enjoyed a lot of success, played in big games and in front of big crowds. Purdue, which reached the 2001 Final Four, also is very seasoned in the NCAA Tournament, and a couple of very savvy seniors lead the Commodores.

  • Potential Blue Devil road blocks: Duke remains the favorite in the Midwest, but is surrounded by a bevy of veteran programs. Texas Tech won the national championship in 1993. Rutgers coach C. Vivian Stringer is the only men's or women's college basketball coach to lead three different programs to the Final Four. And coach Andy Landers has led Georgia to five NCAA title-game appearances. Add in Mississippi State and New Mexico, which hosts a subregional and the Midwest semifinals and final, and things are pretty tough in the Midwest, too.

  • No mystery on No. 1s: The No. 1 seeds shook out as expected. UConn, Duke, Tennessee and LSU clearly are the most deserving teams of a top seed. Texas had a great regular season and Big 12 tournament performance, but the SEC has a higher RPI and strength of schedule. The fact that the Big 12 sent only five teams is notable -- six of the league's teams were seeded among the top-16 seeds last season. For the past few years, Iowa State and Baylor would have continued their seasons in the Big Dance. But both programs were down a bit this year, and that might have hurt the Big 12 a bit.

  • Big day for Big East: Teams from the Big East Conference have taken home the past three NCAA titles (UConn in 2000 and '02, Notre Dame in 2001). And when you've got teams playing to such a high level, it rubs off and raises the expectations of those teams you face day in and day out. That's what has happened in the Big East. UConn has raised the level of play, and as a result, the league matched the SEC with most teams in the tournament at seven each.

  • Seeding surprises: That being said, however, nobody expected to see Miami (18-12) get in with an at-large berth. The Hurricanes' inclusion in the 64-team bracket as the No. 11 seed in the Midwest -- as well as Rutgers' No. 4 seed (Midwest) -- were among the most surprising seeds unveiled Sunday. Again, the Scarlet Knights' high seeding is a reflection of the respect the Big East is starting to earn, and a testimony to coach Stringer.

    It also was surprising that Arkansas only got a No. 7 seed, and that Virginia was invited with 13 losses, which are the most by any team that was given an at-large berth.

    Final Four predictions
    East: UConn, Purdue and Kansas State are leaders of the pack in this region. And while UConn very well could reach its fourth straight Final Four, I really like K-State's chances, too.

    Mideast: Iowa State showed us last year that playing on your home court doesn't guarantee a victory. Still, Tennessee is clearly the favorite to advance out of this region. Of course, if the Lady Vols lose in the first two rounds, they might still make an appearance in the Sweet 16 -- as ushers. In 1990, the Final Four was held in Knoxville, Tenn., but the Lady Vols lost in the Elite Eight. Coach Pat Summitt made her team serve as ushers at Thompson-Boling for the national semifinals. Can you just imagine Kara Lawson diving across the aisles after some loose popcorn?

    Midwest: Duke's going to make it out. The Devils are good, smart, well-coached veterans who have been to the Final Four before and know what it takes to get there. They got a taste of it last season and have some unfinished business.

    West: No matter which team makes it out of this region, it'll be somebody new or someone who hasn't been to the Final Four in some time. Texas hasn't been to the Final Four in years. Sue Gunter and LSU have never reached the national semifinals. Stanford last went in 1997 and Ohio State hasn't been since '93. Even though Louisiana Tech reached the Final Four in 1999, none of these kids were on the team. The sentimental favorite here is Gunter. She is very beloved by her peers, and like Kay Yow leading N.C. State to the Final Four in 1998, they would be ecstatic to see Gunter get to the Final Four.

    Nancy Lieberman, an ESPN analyst and Hall of Famer, is a regular contributor to ESPN.com's women's basketball coverage. Contact her at www.nancylieberman.com.









  •  More from ESPN...
    Complete women's NCAA Tournament coverage
    ESPN.com has the skinny on ...

    Voepel: Putting the committee in its place
    So what exactly went wrong ...

    SEC dominates as LSU, Tennessee earn top seeds
    See who landed where as the ...

    Hays: Women's NCAA Tournament bracket guide
    Before you pencil in your ...

    Nancy Lieberman Archive

    AUDIO/VIDEO
    Video
     Bridesmaid No Longer
    Duke is primed to win a national championship.
    Standard | Cable Modem

     Deep Six
    UConn's loss could spell bad news on the rest of the East bracket.
    Standard | Cable Modem

     ESPN Tools
    Email story
     
    Most sent
     
    Print story
     
    Daily email