Chris Fowler
 
Thursday, November 9
OU gets first real test as No. 1 against A&M




I guess electing a president is a lot like selecting BCS title game contestants. Tight race. Every vote counts. A two-pronged process, one part easy to understand, the other hard. Everybody weighing in with half-baked opinions. Eventually, it all comes down to a controversy in the state of Florida. A recount is Tallahassee? They may be asking for another one in December.

In college football terms, Miami has the popular vote edge over their rivals from upstate, namely the two polls. The BCS standings are like the electoral college. It's a bit tougher to fathom how it works, but it's the system of record. Florida State still has the edge there, thanks to heavy support from the precincts in Silicon Valley (the computers).

We may very well have different winners in the "popular" and "electoral" counts. That might send somebody scrambling to Palm Beach County to look for hidden ballots. Or maybe somebody will send the whole mess to court: sue the AP, the coaches, ESPN, USA Today, Jeff Sagarin, Richard Billingsley, and the rest of the computer gurus!

I, for one, must admit that I was confused by my AP ballot. I completed it on a bumpy commuter flight following two hours sleep and could not read my own scribbles when I phoned it in. If I placed Pat Buchanan's name anywhere on there, AP must call an immediate recount.

By the way, our little parallel even includes someone to play the Tom Brokaw roll, declaring and undeclaring winners by the hour. That's Lee Corso, of course. Last Saturday, as we jetted around the Sunshine State, Coach called Miami the best team he'd seen. A few hours later, he switched his vote to FSU and dropped Oklahoma to third, defying his logic a few weeks ago that he'd vote for undefeated teams over once-beaten ones. Never, ever try to put logic in the way of a steamrolling partisan agenda.

Sooners on upset alert
R.C. Slocum
R.C. Slocum and Texas A&M want to avenge last year's 51-6 loss to Oklahoma.
Saturday's visit to College Station is Oklahoma's first test as a No. 1. Baylor didn't count. The Aggies have a long history of avenging humiliating losses and last year's Woodshed beating at Norman was the school's worst in 98 years! For a proud program, that afternoon was one of the all-time lows. Oklahoma piled up nearly 400 yards in the first half. The final: 51-6.

Fun fact: Texas A&M has won four of its last five against top ten opponents. But the Ags have also never upset a Number One (0-8).

It'll be a great scene at Kyle Field. Following midnight yell practice with about 30,000 gathering in the wee hours, folks will reconvene a few hours later to try to will the Ags to victory. It sure helped last year when Texas visited in the wake of the bonfire tragedy.

A&M will need more than emotion, though. A healthy Robert Ferguson is essential, for starters. The JUCO transfer is the best Aggie receiver in a long time (and that includes Albert Connell, who plays for the Redskins). He's had a tweaked knee, but it seems to coming around after missing some practice.

Ferguson was highly recruited out of Tyler Junior College by FSU and Florida, but was swayed to College Station by "Big Momma." That's what Robert calls his grandmother, who raised him. Big Momma lives in Houston, just a short drive from Kyle Field. She didn't want to have to drive all the way to Florida to watch her baby. Besides, Ferguson wanted to stay loyal to the school he first signed with out of high school, before grades troubles steered him to Tyler.

The Aggies need to be able to do what Kansas State and Nebraska could not do against the Sooners: run.

A&M's O-line has been able to wear folks down by the second half, when Ja'Mar Toombs' pounding runs take their toll. The best news is that third and long is no longer a "give-up" down for R.C. Slocum and the Aggies. QB Mark Farris has gotten much more comfortable as the season's unfolded. He's got a quick release, a command of the offense built by hours in dark rooms studying tape and a quality group of receivers. All in all, A&M has its' best passing attack in, well, a long time. That's not saying much, sure. But it gives the Ags a chance to win when the smashmouth stuff ain't flying.

Mike Hankwitz's defense promises to do its best to confuse Josh Heupel with mixed blitzes, including the kind of zone blitz that confused Jonathan Beasley on K-State's first series. The result: a pick that was lugged down to the two yard line. The Ags are buying into the logic that since they stopped Texas Tech with three picks, they can better deal with the Sooners' similar scheme. Didn't work for Nebraska, though.

Good news: A&M has allowed more than 17 points only twice this year.

Here's the rub: the weakness of the Aggies' defense is a young, green secondary. In the mix a couple of true freshmen, and a true sophomore safety. It seems the only way to cope with OU's barrage is to show up with a healthy supply of fast, solid DBs who can cover and (especially) tackle well. OU is for real and wins this one, but not in the same, breezy fashion as last year.

The closest call
This is the 10th anniversary of college football's version of Gore-Bush. In 1990, Georgia Tech won the coaches' poll national title over AP champ Colorado by a single point! The story I got from a reliable source at the time was this: the final vote was cast by then-San Diego State coach Al Lugenbill. The total was deadlocked with only Al's ballot outstanding. Finally, the vacationing Lugenbill was located. He was not in Palm Beach County, by the way. When he put the Yellow Jackets at No. 1, the tie was snapped and the first of two consecutive split polls was sealed.

Tech's co-title team is back in Atlanta this week to be honored at the Virginia game. It's fitting since the Yellow Jacket's key win that year -- on a late Scott Sisson field goal -- came against the Cavaliers.

Top five
The only change in my AP top five this week was to obviously drop Virginia Tech and move up the Gators and Huskers. No real surprises. I'd really consider ranking Washington higher than No. 7 if the Huskies could just take care of business and put somebody away. Six of their eight wins are by less than a TD, six against teams not ranked. They could really use a consistent, complete performance. Coach Rick is aging quickly.

Do you realize how bizarre it is for a team to be 8-1 while being outscored by opponents through the first three quarters, 154-137? Trust me, it's real unusual. The Huskies are winning the 4th quarter by an astounding 130-61. Good omen for Saturday: UCLA has fallen behind early in all its' games and is 1-7 in the last eight away from Pasadena.

Anyway, the top five:

No. 1 -- Oklahoma. See above.

No. 2 -- Miami. Canes will stay ahead of Noles on my ballot if they keep taking care of business. Three more wins are far from automatic, though.

No. 3 -- Florida State. Semis are scary now. BCS Misconception #428: smacking around people like Clemson by 47 points will not hugely help FSU in the BCS big picture. Computer ratings have rapidly diminishing returns for margins like 54-7. Most of the formulas have some built in component recognizing that scores like that against respectable teams are aberrations and don't reward the winner as much as you'd think. There's little difference in almost all of the formulas between a three TD and a six TD win.

No. 4 -- Florida. Gators could get a real tussle from South Carolina, even though Lou Holtz is setting a modern day personal record for poor-mouthing his team's chances in the Swamp. God, it's good to have Lou back on the map!

No. 5 -- Nebraska. Huskers have to prove they can win a big road game. It's simple: 1-4 away from Lincoln against top ten teams is no disgrace for most programs, but Nebraska lives by a higher standard. Time to show up in a big road game.

"Bottom" five
I'll again include the bottom of my AP ballot, which is always a lot tougher to fill out than the top is.

No 21 -- Colorado State. Rams finally pounded someone (OK, it was BYU) and there isn't a group that plays harder and squeezes more out of its ability than Lubick's crew. Beware the upset bid at Air Force, though. If CSU survives this, it should be 10-1, heading back to the Liberty Bowl.

No. 22 -- Texas A&M. Aggies don't need a win, just a good showing to stay on my ballot.

No. 23 -- Georgia Tech. Jackets are young, eager, still fresh and improving. This team should be in the top 15 in the preseason 2001 polls. Only losses were to FSU (by five) and at N.C. State in OT.

No. 24 -- TCU. I'd warned everybody about the Frogs' potential trap at San Jose. Maybe that's why I was crazy enough to sit up (very) late after our Colorado-to-Miami-to-Tallahassee marathon last Saturday and catch the ball game. Kudos to the Spartans for playing their guts out, but the Frogs are way too talented to be whipped in that way. Bye, bye BCS shot. The Frogs can still fashion a nice 10-1 season, though. No. 25 -- Auburn. After two straight sluggish efforts, the Tigers will make a big jump in my poll if they handle Georgia at home and then Bama. They should. Only two losses were at Starkville and Gainesville.

Battered QBs
All season, I've mentioned the epidemic of injuries felling quarterbacks. The roll call of wounded warriors this week includes Virginia Tech's Michael Vick, Georgia's Quincy Carter, Texas' Major Applewhite, Washington State's Jason Gesser (the Pac-10's leading passer), N.C. State's ACC freshman star Philip Rivers and Boston College's Tim Hasselbeck, among others. Woody Dantzler needs ankle surgery, but he's going to play on for Clemson.

Wish list
We're all ecstatic about taking Gameday to Kyle Field for the first time. I haven't seen a game there in about ten years.

Now that College Station will become the 6th Big 12 campus to host our show, here's my wish list of future locales, ranked 1-6:

No. 1 -- Clemson. Tradition, color, and a program on the mend. Maybe FSU at Death Valley next year. Gotta be better than 5-7.
No. 2 -- Washington. Beautiful setting, great city, 4:30 am wake up call. Two out of three ain't a deal-breaker.
No. 3 -- Mississippi. Would love to do a show from the Oxford campus. The Ole Miss belles would flock to see Kirk in person.
No. 4 -- Army. If the Cadets could claw back to respectability, we'd love to do a show at West Point in the mid autumn. At least I would.
No. 5 -- Mississippi State. The Bulldogs rowdy fans are a treat. Bring on the cowbells! Just build a new hotel in town, please.
No. 6 -- Hawaii. OK, this will probably never happen. But we can dream.

Shameless promotional plug
Hope to see you Saturday morning from A&M, and if you have a chance listen to Kirk and my radio show Friday night on ESPN radio from 7-9 Eastern.

Chris Fowler is the host of College Gameday and his column appears every Thursday.








ALSO SEE
College Football ... On Campus with Chris Fowler and Kirk Herbstreit

BCS rankings eliminate Virginia Tech and Clemson

The good hands people

Big 12 notebook















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