OK, so now we finally know who's staying on campus and who bolted for the draft. Notice, we didn't "NBA", because getting drafted doesn't mean early entrants like Marcus Taylor actually made the league -- yet.

Of course, there are still plenty of eligibility issues for players and teams to sort out over the summer months. But, as the calendar turns to July, ESPN.com has an idea which teams will realistically have a shot to be in the NCAA Tournament, or so we think.

	Three reasons to like Arizona: returning seniors Luke Walton, Jason Gardner and Rick Anderson.

At least a better idea than in April, when ESPN.com was roasted by users for doing a quick top 25 after watching Maryland win the 2002 national championship. Had we known then what we know now, yes Xavier would have made the list. But who knew David West would stay a Musketeer?

What that means is Xavier goes from unranked to No. 12. Just one of several examples of how things can change from April 1 to July 1.

As for No. 1? Well, there is no change there. Arizona was our choice back when we compiled our top 25 at the Final Four, and with Jason Gardner and Luke Walton both honoring their promises to return for their senior seasons, the Wildcats remain atop our Summer Top 50.

We'll admit, doing a top 25 -- in April -- was a bit ambitious, if not maybe too far out on the limb. How about a top 50 in July? It works for us.

But, again, this shouldn't be considered ESPN.com's preseason rankings. Those won't come until October when ESPN.com publishes its annual college basketball preview.

The top 25 or 50 teams in the country can still be affected by recruiting for next season at potential top 25 schools from California to Connecticut. Foreign players could alter the landscape. Keep an eye on where Denmark's Christjen Drejer lands. He's still mulling over Gonzaga, Florida and Benetton Treviso in the Italian professional league. And there are still a few national letter of intent appeals that could significantly improve a few teams like Miami, Georgetown and USC, if the players involved get out of their NLI penalty of sitting a year after breaking the contract.

Scheduling is also a major factor in helping teams get at-large berths, and until a federal court ruling is issued on the 2-and-4 rule on exempted tourneys, some potential bubble schools might not get the neutral site games they covet. (Yes, we just used the word "bubble" in late June.)

Recruiting for the class of 2003 begins July 8 in Indianapolis and New Jersey. That would be Nike and Adidas conducting their annual "I've got better talent than you contest for a week.'' A competition that means absolutely nothing in the sport outside of bragging rights for, well, we're not sure who needs to brag about this.

And heading into the recruiting season, we've got an idea which teams can honestly tell a prospect they are going to be pretty good and a possible tourney team next season. Here are the teams who don't have to tell tall tales about their potential -- in 25 words or less:

ESPN.com's Summer Sizzling 50
1 Arizona Pac-10		Luke Walton is the toughest matchup in the country now that Mike Dunleavy is gone. Jason Gardner takes over for Jay Williams as game's best on-court leader.
2 Kansas Big 12		Nick Collison and Kirk Hinrich can return to the Final Four without Drew Gooden because Wayne Simien and Jeff Graves can take his place.
3 Oklahoma Big 12		The Sooners can return to the Final Four because whatever scoring they lost in Aaron McGhee they added with DeAngelo Alexander and Kevin Bookout.
4 Texas Big 12		T.J. Ford (nation-best 8.7 apg) is the best PG back in college and James Thomas (8.8 rpg) is one of the top finishers. Keep the Longhorns in the discussion.
5 Pittsburgh Big East		Remember the inside-out combo of Brandin Knight (15.6 ppg, 7.2 asp) and Ontario Lett. The pair should be one of the country's top five next season.
6 Duke ACC		Chris Duhon, Daniel Ewing, Dahntay Jones and a sick recruiting class will keep Blue Devils atop ACC and in the top 10 even without Dunleavy, Williams and Boozer.
7 Georgia SEC		Dawgs could drop in October if eligibility issues deplete the frontcourt depth. But the starters, plus Damien Wilkens, is enough to win the SEC.
8 Kentucky SEC		JUCO transfer Antwain Barbour (6-5, G/F) and freshman Kelenna Azubuike (6-6, G/F) are as highly touted a pair of newcomers as Tubby Smith has had in his tenure.
9 Virginia ACC		The Cavs are ticked off with last season's late collapse that landed 'em in the NIT. They've got the talent, even without Roger Mason Jr., to avenge 2002's failures.
10 UCLA Pac-10		Two years after flirting with NBA, Jason Kapono returns for senior season. But, once again, we're back to potential with this crew, especially with Cedric Bozeman at the point.
11 Michigan St. Big Ten		While Marcus Taylor fightis to stick in NBA, Chris Hill takes over PG duties in East Lansing. Spartans also have Big Ten's best incoming shooting forward in Paul Davis.
12 Xavier Atlantic Ten		Musketeers are clearly the class of the A-10. You know about David West, but Romain Sato (15.6 ppg, 6.5 rpg) could be the most underrated scoring guard in the country.
13 Alabama SEC		Tide returns SEC player of the year Erwin Dudley (15.3 ppg, 8.9 rpg) inside and conference's top point Mo Williams on the outside. No excuse if the West isn't won in Tuscaloosa.
14 Miss. St. SEC		Mario Austin (16.0 ppg, 7.6 rpg) was somehow convinced to return after saying he was gone. The Bulldogs have no excuse but to take advantage of his presence.
15 Oregon Pac-10		Luke Ridnour and Luke Jackson will shine, but also quickly realize how much they miss Fred Jones and Chris Christoffersen when defenses double on them.
16 Villanova Big East		Jay Wright got the recruits he needed (see: Jason Fraser). Now the pressure is on in Season Two to produce and get Wildcats back into tourney after three-year absence.
17 Florida SEC		Billy takes the reigns off James White and David Lee -- two of the more underused talents last season. Given the green light, the pair will do wonders for the Gators.
18 UConn Big East		Emeka Okafor is a flat-out stud in the post and Ben Gordon's knack for knocking down 3s make the Huskies a threat. Oh, but what could have been at UConn with Caron.
19 Marquette C-USA		Dwyane Wade (17.8 ppg) will miss Cordell Henry more than even he knows, but Tom Crean's ingenuity will keep the Eagles a step ahead of C-USA's usual suspects.
20 Indiana Big Ten		Time for Jeffrey Newton (8.1 ppg, 5.1 rpg) and George Leach (9.1 mpg) to live up to potential. If they don't, the Hoosiers will be off-balance even with a productive perimeter.
21 Gonzaga WCC		The Bulldogs just need a go-to scorer to emerge (Gourde? Violette? Stepp?). Everything else is in place for another banner season out West.
22 Maryland ACC		Champs are a long shot to defend title. But, Steve Blake and Tahj Holden won't need to do it all with the expectation of JUCO signee Jamar Smith becoming a star.
23 Missouri Big 12		The stage is clear for scoring stud Ricky Paulding (11.9 ppg, 51% FGs) to continue Tigers' tradition of leaning on scoring wings to carry 'em. And don't forget Arthur Johnson.
24 Louisville C-USA		Reece Gaines (21.1 ppg, 3.6 apg) proved last season he can carry a team. If Marvin Stone lives up to potential in second half of season, Pitino may have Cards climbing come March.
25 W. Kentucky Sun Belt		Chris Marcus' bum wheel slowed down Hilltoppers in 2002, but is reason he's back and they remain top-25 stuff in 2003. Dennis Felton also has a gem in point Patrick Sparks.
26 Syracuse Big East		Newcomers Billy Edelin (well, sort of new ...) and Carmelo Anthony give the Orangemen two of the best players in high school the past two seasons.
27 Pepperdine WCC		If Devin Montgomery (11.4 ppg, 3.8 apg) and Glen McGowan (9.8 ppg) get eligible, the Waves could crash Gonzaga's party as the WCC's marquee team.
28 Wyoming MWC		Marcus Bailey (14.6 ppg, 49.4% FG), point Jason Straight (3.3 apg) and 6-10 Uche Nsonwu-Amadi (8.2 rpg) give the Cowboys the triple-threat of a shooter, passer and scorer.
29 Texas Tech Big 12		Only one starter (Andy Ellis) is missing from last year's surprising NCAA tourney team coached by Bob Knight. Expect an encore, if not more in Lubbock.
30 Illinois Big Ten		With Mr. Williams gone, this is now Brian Cook's team ... and that's a good thing. And when has a Bill Self-coach team failed to produce positive results? When?
31 Notre Dame Big East		Chris Thomas (16.3 ppg, 7.7 apg) enters the season not too far behind T.J. Ford in the best PG division. Add Danny Miller and Torin Francis and the Irish return to the tourney.
32 N.C. State ACC		Herb Sendek's turnaround continues next season with back-to-back tourney showing via his deviation of the Princeton offense that could become a trend-setter.
33 Boston College Big East		Guards Troy Bell (21.4 ppg) and Ryan Sidney (14.2 ppg) got much-needed help when PF Craig Smith got eligible. Add him to Uka Agbai and BC is balanced.
34 USC Pac-10		The Trojans lost the player of the Pac-10 (Sam Clancy), but we're convinced the West will be a buzz over Errick Craven (11.8 ppg, 27.7 mpg) before season's end.
35 Cincinnati C-USA		Jason Maxiell (6.8 rpg, 51 blocks) gets a chance to be a go-to player on offense. If Huggins can maximize Maxiell, the Bearcats could again go from unranked to ranked quickly.
36 Minnesota Big Ten		Rick Rickert was special as a freshman (14.2 ppg, 51.7% FG). It's time to now carry Gophers to NCAAs. He has the talent and the role players to get it done before he bolts.
37 St. John's Big East		Marcus Hatten (19.9 ppg, 4.6 apg) is free to score even more with PG help in form of Elijah Ingram, who now makes pressing the Red Storm nearly impossible.
38 Butler Horizon		Can't expect the start of 2001, but while Bulldogs lost Rylan Hainje, the core remains in a league that hasn't pushed them aside the past few seasons.
39 Hawaii WAC		Four starters return, including Carl English (15.7 ppg), and the Warriors got a stellar recruiting class (says Riley Wallace). If he's right, look for three straight WAC titles.
40 LSU SEC		Ronald Dupree (16.2 ppg, 8.5 rpg) didn't return to Baton Rouge for nothing. He's got unfinished business to attend to -- and it's about getting John Brady back to the Dance.
41 Tulsa WAC		The Golden Hurricane only lose Greg Harrington from one of the most NCAA-tested rosters in the country. Tulsa fans already have Jan. 7 (at Gonzaga) circled.
42 Arizona St. Pac-10		Devils are 41 spots lower than neighbors, but freshman Ike Diogu is the real deal -- at least that's what the players are telling the staff. And that means a top-five finish in Pac-10.
43 Wisconsin Big Ten		The Badgers won a share of the Big Ten last season with a team all but void of seniors. Can Bo Ryan stun everyone again? No, because it wouldn't be a surprise.
44 California Pac-10		Amit Tamir (10.6 ppg) is the last Bear standing inside, but guards like Joe Shipp and Shantay Legans, not to mention their defense, still make this a tourney team.
45 Mississippi SEC		Rebels are usually one of the best defensive teams under Rod Barnes (don't watch the UCLA tape) and that should continue for a sleeper pick in the SEC.
46 Miami, Fla. Big East		Darius Rice (14.9 ppg) and James Jones (12.9 ppg, 6.4 rpg) should be as tough to stop as any forwards in the Big East. New on-campus arena will do wonders, if not add a few wins.
47 Georgia Tech ACC		Tech was close to dancing in 2002, and added one of the top prep forwards in Chris Bosh. That's enough to keep the 'em in the NCAA conversation for next nine months.
48 Memphis C-USA		Don't underestimate John Calipari, especially when he's down and everyone is kicking dirt at him. The Tigerrs have the incoming talent to compete in and out of conference.
49 Utah MWC		Rick Majerus gets Britton Johnsen back for his seventh year (OK, so two were during his mission). Still, how about that for an experienced player?
50 North Carolina ACC		No mercy pick here. We've got one equation for you -- Raymond Felton + Rashad McCants + Sean May = a more competitive and potential NCAA team.