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| Friday, January 3 Updated: January 6, 6:32 PM ET Getting in the 'know' as conference plays heats up By Andy Katz ESPN.com |
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Here's what we know as the conference season begins in earnest:
Here's what we don't know:
Here's our take on the conferences that entered the New Year's with a buzz:
What we know: Xavier is beatable if the Musketeers are defended on the perimeter. But the Musketeers still have the best inside/out combo in the league with Romain Sato and David West. Saint Joseph's is for real because Jameer Nelson is having a player of the year-type season and the Hawks are playing the best defense in the league. Dayton will be tough to beat at home and could build a strong case for an at-large bid with a gaudy record. What we don't know: How much of an advantage will Dayton have hosting the conference tournament? Can the Flyers win on the road? Will Saint Bonaventure's frenetic style hold up over the course of the season? Is Richmond a realistic threat to finish second? What do we make of UMass after the Minutemen beat N.C. State? Will Temple ever get a consistent streak going to make a run?
ACC What we don't know: Does Georgia Tech's recent slide indicate the Yellow Jackets can't score well enough to get a bid? Should we take Clemson seriously after its 9-0 start? Does N.C. State have too many "clones"? What happened to Florida State's defense after getting routed by Boston University? How much of an affect will May have on the Tar Heels if he returns by late February, early March? Will Majestic Mapp return at the point and be a difference maker for Virginia? Will the freshmen hold up at Wake Forest, Duke, North Carolina, Maryland and Georgia Tech over the length of the season?
Big East
What we don't know: Will Rutgers be a tough out at the RAC once again and cost one of the favorites the title? Will Boston College hit a consistent stride and reach their potential, or will the Eagles tank it? Can Providence be a realistic contender after crushing the Eagles? What do we make of West Virginia? Can the Mountaineers really be a top tier West Division team? Is St. John's going to play up to its potential? Will Miami's new homecourt make the Hurricane tougher to beat at home? Is Seton Hall the dog team in the West? Will Virginia Tech be a given for East Division teams? Will Georgetown find consistent shooters to stay in the race? How will Connecticut handle the tough road stops like at Pitt? How will Pitt handle being the targeted team? How much of an affect will having point guard Billy Edelin have on the Orangemen when he's eligible? What if the Irish don't shoot well?
Big Ten
What we don't know: Can Iowa continue its strong start into the Big Ten? What happens when Ohio State is completely healthy? Will Purdue be a tough out at home and make a late postseason run? Should Michigan be taken seriously as a trouble spot after winning six straight games? Will Penn State win a road game? Can Northwestern score enough to win on the road? Are we finally done talking about Mike Davis' outburst against Kentucky?
Big 12 What we don't know: Can Oklahoma score well enough in the post to be a contender again? Will Missouri's guards shoot well enough to keep the Tigers in the top four? Should Oklahoma State be taken seriously as a top-four team within the conference without a proven star? What do we make of Texas A&M after the Aggies beat LSU and Tennessee but lost to Texas-San Antonio? Could Colorado be a factor in the race after a sudden surge late with a win at Charlotte? Can Iowa State, Baylor, Nebraska and Kansas State be trouble for one of the elite teams? Is there an easy conference game?
Conference USA What we don't know: Can Memphis finally crack through and become a tournament team? Will DePaul be as consistent in Conference USA play and make a late charge for a bid? Will this league get three-to-four bids, or could it get reduced to two if either Cincinnati, Memphis, Marquette or Louisville collapse? Can TCU, South Florida, UAB, East Carolina, Saint Louis and Charlotte be trouble and cause unrest for the NCAA favorites? Is this emerging as one of the most competitive conferences at the top with Louisville, Marquette and Cincinnati battling for one division crown? Can Louisville's Reece Gaines or Marquette's Dwayne Wade be national player of the year finalists? Will Cincinnati's Tony Bobbitt be a consistent scoring threat?
SEC
What we don't know: Will Kennedy Winston get eligible for Alabama, and if he does, how much of an affect will he have? Will Christian Drejer be healthy to play for Florida? If so, how much? Can Kentucky work in Antwain Barbour enough to keep everyone happy? Will the Wildcats handle losses well with the pressure of producing for the Kentucky faithful? Can Georgia's thin inside hold up in the rugged SEC? Did Ole Miss play a soft schedule or should the Rebels be a threat, too? Will Ron Slay lead the SEC in scoring and take Tennessee to the postseason? Will South Carolina get strong enough guard play to be a factor? Should we discount Auburn just yet? Vanderbilt can shoot but can the Commodores defend well enough to stay in the hunt for an NCAA bid? Will LSU keep up its good fortune after beating Arizona?
Pac-10
What we don't know: Will UCLA ever click enough to be dominant at home? How dangerous is USC once the Trojans get a complete team? Will Luke Walton be effective throughout the Pac-10? Can Cal find a fourth option and get consistent point guard play? Will Washington, Washington State and Oregon State battle out for the last spot in the Pac-10 tournament? Will there be any coaching changes before the Pac-10 tourney? A few other conferences to watch:
MWC: What we don't know: Will Australian center Andrew Bogut get eligible for Utah? How much of an impact will Evan Burns have at San Diego State as he gets more comfortable? Can this league get multiple bids again, as many as three?
WAC What we don't know: Can Tulsa can win big games on the road? Can SMU make itself a factor with two of the best young guards in the league? Will Nevada and Louisiana Tech get back to being potential top-four teams like they were predicted? Will Hawaii get to a third straight NCAA Tournament? Can the WAC earn multiple bids yet again?
America East What we don't know: Is Vermont still trouble for BU without T.J. Sorrentine?
Sun Belt
Big West What we don't know: Is Santa Barbara a realistic threat to win the title? What about UC Irvine, the best team in this league not to win the conference tournament? And, should Pacific's win over Saint Joseph's mean the Tigers are a threat?
Southern What we don't know: Are the Cougars this season's Ball State? Will they lose too many games in the Southern to be considered an at-large candidate? Can Charleston take advantage of playing the tournament in its own city, albeit not on its homecourt.
Missouri Valley
What we don't know: Does Southern Illinois have a run in it to upset Creighton and make a case for a bid? Are there any other true contenders like Drake, Northern Iowa or Wichita State? Will the league get two bids by upsetting Creighton in the tournament?
West Coast What we don't know: Can Pepperdine handle Gonzaga's bigs and challenge for the title? Was San Diego's win at UCLA a sign that it can win the tournament on its homecourt? Was San Francisco's win over BYU a fluke, or can the Dons be trouble for the Zags? Can Santa Clara's makeshift lineup hold up over the course of the WCC season?
Big Sky Ivy What we know: Penn, Princeton, Yale and Harvard have all had flashes of looking like a contender for the title. Penn is the most talented, but must shoot better in conference play to win consistently. Princeton is gaining confidence with each week after nearly beating Texas and defeating Texas A&M. Yale doesn't fear Penn or Princeton anymore. Harvard got off to a 7-2 start before slowing a bit but has a renewed sense of purpose this season. What we don't know: Can Penn senior Ugonna Onykwe lead the Quakers to the title by being a dominant player of the year favorite? Can Princeton get Spencer Gloger enough shots to lean heavily on their best player? Will Yale and Harvard avoid stumbling to the bottom teams so they can stay in the race? Will there be another playoff like last season? Horizon What we know: Butler might be as good as last season and Darnell Archey doesn't look like he's going to miss at the free-throw line (32 of 32). Wisconsin-Milwaukee is just as legitimate a threat to win the Horizon league. But neither team has enough marquee wins to make a strong enough case to get in as an at-large team just yet. What we don't know: Will the Horizon League's tournament tweaking to protect the top teams mean the best team will get to the NCAAs?
Weekly Chatter
Andy Katz is a senior writer at ESPN.com. His Weekly Word on college basketball is updated Fridays throughout the year. |
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