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| Friday, March 21 Updated: March 23, 7:58 PM ET Wizards must take it slow on the road By Dr. Jack Ramsay Special to ESPN.com |
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Editor's note: Each week during the NBA regular season, Dr. Jack Ramsay makes a house call with an ailing team. This week: Washington Wizards.
The Symptoms
Washington has been on the playoff bubble all season. Its best record was when it reached two games over .500 -- at 6-4. Since then, the Wizards have hovered over or dipped under the break-even mark. They face five more games on this trip and overall play 11 out of their 15 remaining games on the road, where they are only 9-21 to date. The Bucks have 14 games remaining, seven at home and seven away. Wizards coach Doug Collins feels that his team must win 41 games to make the playoffs -- a daunting task in view of its remaining schedule and its lack of success as a visiting team.
The Diagnosis Jerry Stackhouse complements Jordan's versatility at the perimeter. Stack is an inconsistent shooter -- under 42 percent from the field -- but creates his own shot and gets to the line, where he shoots an excellent 87 percent. Now that both Larry Hughes and Tyronn Lue have recovered from injuries, the point guard situation is in good hands. The Wizards lost precious ground in their bid to make the playoffs when both were hurt at the same time. Rookie Juan Dixon has had a few strong games, while Bryon Russell hasn't been much help off the bench as a backup swingman. Up front, Christian Laettner (eight points and six rebounds a game) does a satisfactory job at big forward, but he is backed up by inconsistent youngster Kwame Brown (seven points and five rebounds) and veteran Charles Oakley. Second-year center Brendan Haywood contributes about six points and five rebounds a game and is the team leader in blocks. Strongman Jahidi White, who's been injured most of the season, appears ready to give the front line a much needed boost. However, none of them has a postup game nor is an inside scoring threat. The Wizards are well-coached by Collins. They play better than average defense (.438 field-goal percentage allowed), and they don't turn the ball over (13.7 per game). But the roster is a patchwork of talent. The young players -- Brown, Haywood and Dixon -- are too inexperienced to contribute on a consistent basis. Veterans Oakley and Russell work hard but are past their primes. That leaves it up to Jordan, Stackhouse, Laettner, Hughes and Lue to carry the team to a level of success beyond its potential. But for all of that, the Wizards are usually in the game down to the final seconds. They are 9-4 in games decided by three points or less and 2-2 in overtime games. Most NBA followers don't expect to see Washington in the playoffs, but I don't count them out. I've seen Jordan pull off the unexpected too many times to do that.
The Cure
The schedule favors them to this degree: On this six-game trip, there is only one back-to-back set -- at Portland and then at Seattle -- and that one requires brief travel. There's at least a day off between the other games, which is good for Jordan's recovery time. The Wizards need nine wins just to finish at .500. To do that, they need to go at least 3-3 on this trip. Then they have four games at home and five away for the balance of the season. It's vital for the Wizards to control tempo in these upcoming games. Phoenix, Golden State and Seattle like to run. The Wizards can't run with them. They need to take advantage of quick breaks off steals, but other than those moments, they must slow the tempo and let MJ and Stack create scores in their half-court offense. Michael knows that the burden is on him to keep the game within reach until the closing minutes, when he or Stackhouse can win it. If defenses concentrate too much on him, MJ will find open teammates. Brown, Haywood and White will get scoring chances right at the rim. They must complete those plays. Laettner, Lue and Hughes will get open shots at the perimeter. They must make a good percentage of those. Effective offensive rebounding by the Wizards' big men will keep opponents from running out. Then, every Washington player must sprint back to deny transition scores and knuckle down to unrelenting, rock-ribbed, half-court defense. They must allow no layups and no second shots. Does all of that sound difficult? It is. Many say it can't be done. That's when Michael Jordan is at his best. Dr. Jack Ramsay, who is an NBA analyst for ESPN, is a regular contributor to ESPN.com. |
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