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Updated: April 15, 4:01 PM ET Does advantage even exist on East home courts? By Joe Lago ESPN.com |
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It requires more good fortune than an unintentional tap of the ball by Vlade Divac and a fortuitous bounce to a wide-open Robert Horry. It's luckier than winning LeBron James. It's known as backing into the playoffs, a process that requires countless calls going one's way and prayers being answered to save face from an embarrassing finish and save a season with that last postseason berth. But can a slumping club back its way into home-court advantage? In the wild and wacky Eastern Conference, it's possible. The East has been turned upside down by the ongoing post-All-Star-break funk of the top three teams (Pistons, Nets and Pacers) and the surging second halves of the 76ers, Hornets and Magic. In this unharmonic convergence toward the playoffs, would the right to play four times on your home floor in a seven-game series even matter? Not right now. Not with the bottom seeds playing better ball than the top seeds. Let's take a closer look. If the playoffs were to begin today, the Pistons, the team currently in line for home-court advantage through the East playoffs, would meet up with the Bucks, the current eighth seed. Detroit has lost three of four to Milwaukee, including three straight and an 89-87 home loss on Jan. 11. And that was before the Bucks were locked and loaded for a playoff push by trading for Gary Payton and Desmond Mason. Not much of a home-court edge there. The Nets, currently second in the East, would face the Magic, currently seventh. The squads split the season series but Orlando won the last two -- 92-83 at home and 113-105 at the Meadowlands -- before and after making the big trade-deadline deal for power forward Drew Gooden and Gordan Giricek. Not much of an advantage there, either. Next up: No. 3 Pacers against the No. 6 Hornets. With the way they've been playing, you might as well reverse the numbers. Tuesday's 81-71 road victory by New Orleans over Isiah Thomas' troubled troops -- amid boos by the restless natives at Conseco Fieldhouse -- says more about the result of a playoff encounter than Indiana's wins in the teams' first three meetings this season. Home-court edge: Neither. That brings us to the 4 vs. 5 matchup, the 76ers against the Celtics. Guess who has taken two of three in the season series, including the teams' last meeting at the First Union Center? That's right, Boston. As you've probably heard a TV analyst say a couple of hundred times or so, the better team will eventually prevail in a seven-game series. The problem with trying to apply that theorem to the East is first determining who's the better team. Milwaukee and Orlando will likely remain at the bottom jockeying for the last two spots with Washington, but designating one of the top six as the team to beat come April 19 won't be easy. That team could very well be the Bucks, who could develop team chemistry with all of those point guards and shooters in time for a title run. Who needs the home court throughout the playoffs the most? That's easy: the Pacers and Nets. Among the East's current playoff teams, Indiana has the worst road record at 13-21, and New Jersey is tied with Orlando for second-worst at 13-20. Then again, Dikembe Mutombo should be healthy and rested to give the Nets a defensive presence in the post. Maybe the defending conference champ will start playing like one. "They're all quality basketball teams," Celtics coach Jim O'Brien said before Wednesday's game with the Hornets. "It (winning homecourt) will be up to gaining momentum, staying healthy and executing everything you've been working on since training camp." Under normal circumstances, yes. In the abnormal East, we shall see. Joe Lago, the NBA editor for ESPN.com, writes the Morning Shootaround every Wednesday. |
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