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Thursday, August 1
 
MVP: Most valuable platoon

By David Schoenfield
ESPN.com

"Now Kielty, Mohr and Michael Cuddyer give the Twins what might be the most productive right field in the majors."

    -- Minneapolis Star Tribune

Geez, aren't there a couple guys named Sosa and Guerrero who are pretty good?

While the hometown paper may have gone a little overboard plugging their locals, here are two players to consider:

           AB  H   R 2B 3B HR RBI SB  AVG  OBP  SLG  OPS   
Player A  394 120 67 21  2 18  66  5 .305 .379 .505  884 
Player B  429 150 75 22  6  6  35 25 .350 .416 .471  887

Player B is Ichiro Suzuki, the reigning American League MVP, who is playing even better this season. And Player A? That's the collective efforts of Bobby Kielty, Dustan Mohr, Cuddyer and a couple others while playing right field for the Twins.

The point isn't the Kielmoyer is as good as Ichiro -- who, after all, plays in a tougher home park to hit in and has more defensive value -- but that the Minnesota trio has been among the best right fielders in baseball. Overall, Twins' right fielders rank eighth in the majors in OPS, ninth in RBI and eighth in runs scored. Considering right field may be the most talent-laden position in the majors, Kielmoyer has been one of the Twins' secret weapons.

That's the good news from Minnesota. The bad news? Ron Gardenhire's batting lineups.

For instance, Cristian Guzman continues to hit second, despite the fact that's he been horrible this season. Of 166 major-league regulars, he ranks 161st in on-base percentage. Why have somebody who can't get on base hit in front of the meat of the order?

Jacque Jones has had a surprising year from the leadoff spot, but can't hit left-handers (.171, 528 OPS); only recently has Gardenhire finally started benching him. Trouble is, Luis Rivas has hit leadoff the last two games against left-handers ... and he's even worse! Rivas is hitting .161 with a 485 OPS vs. left-handers. (He didn't hit southpaws last year, either: 241.) And while David Ortiz was one of baseball's hottest hitters in July, he shouldn't be hitting cleanup against left-handers (.215, 669 OPS). You're not going to win playoff games with Rivas, Guzman and Ortiz hitting one-two-four against the likes of Andy Pettitte or Jamie Moyer or Barry Zito.

Then there's Doug Mientkiewicz. He's spent most of the year hitting third, although has lately been hitting down in the order. He has no power. His chief asset is drawing walks; thus, he's third on the team in on-base percentage behind Kielty (.453 in 199 at-bats) and Corey Koskie (.401). Maybe he should be hitting second instead of Guzman, since his OBP is nearly 100 points higher?

True, batting order is nowhere near as significant as people believe. But it's guaranteed the Twins would score more runs with a more efficient lineup: hit the on-base guys in front of the power guys and the crappy guys at the bottom.

So, here's what the Twins should do (with on-base percentage and OPS):

vs. right-handers            vs. left-handers
3B Koskie        .410  917   3B Koskie       .381  781    
LF Jones         .367  915   1B Mientkiewicz .375  756
CF Hunter        .370  987   RF Kielty       .419  829 
DH Ortiz         .386  935   CF Hunter       .336  853
RF Kielty        .468 1048   DH LeCroy       .348  897
1B Mientkiewicz  .377  754   LF Mohr         .315  679
C  Pierzynski    .354  807   C  Prince       .352  702    
2B Rivas         .376  786   2B Hocking      .456  956
SS Guzman        .285  639   SS Guzman       .271  656

As you can see, the Twins are much more productive against right-handed pitchers. Overall, Minnesota has an 820 OPS vs. righties and 724 vs. lefties. If you want to beat Minnesota in the playoffs, throw as many lefty starters as possible.

You can monkey with the lineups. Koskie is the team's best proven OBP guy and has decent speed. Hit him leadoff. Michael Cuddyer may end up as the left or right fielder against lefties. Denny Hocking isn't really a .456 OBP guy, but he probably deserves to play ahead of Rivas. And Kielty should be in the lineup everyday.

Cold in July

  • The Mariners are back in first place, but continue to scrape for runs. Their month-by-month batting average and runs per game:
              Avg.    Runs
    April     .283    5.80
    May       .275    5.48
    June      .279    4.64
    July      .256    4.04

    The main culprits? Jeff Cirillo continued his season-long "slump" by hitting .176. Carlos Guillen didn't drive in a run until July 30. Ruben Sierra hit .183, Desi Relaford hit .116.

  • Johnny Damon and Nomar Garciaparra sparked the Red Sox to their hot April start by hitting .360 and .330, respectively. However, the two have gotten cold as the months have gotten warmer:
              Damon   Garciaparra
    April     .360       .330
    May       .298       .318
    June      .274       .300
    July      .250       .270

    Nonetheless, the Red Sox still ranked second in the majors with 172 runs scored in July (Garciaparra had 27 RBI). Top five: Yankees (182), Red Sox (172), Indians (148), Mets (146), Cardinals (146). Bottom five: Marlins (100), Dodgers (102), Padres (104), Rockies (107), Angels (108).

  • Todd Ritchie went 1-4, 9.12 in July. Since going 2-2 in April, he's 3-12 with a 7.51 ERA. Meanwhile, Josh Fogg and Kip Wells have combined for 20 wins for the Pirates.

  • Hot in July

  • Larry Walker hit .438 in July after hitting .410 in June, making him the first player since Paul O'Neill in 1994 to record back-to-back .400 months (minimum 65 at-bats).

  • Trot Nixon led the majors with 29 RBI in July, while hitting .330 with seven homers and 13 doubles. Alex Rodriguez hit .349 with 12 home runs and 27 RBI.

  • Baltimore's Rodrigo Lopez went 6-0, 2.57 in the month, becoming the first Orioles hurler to win six straight decisions in a month since Dennis Martinez in May of 1979.

  • Atlanta's Kevin Millwood continued his hot pitching with a win on Wednesday. He finished 5-1, 2.43 in July and is 8-1 over his past 14 starts.

  • And then there's Barry Zito. He went 5-0 in six July starts with a 1.66 ERA. He's allowed three runs in four starts since the All-Star break.

    Other notes

  • We know Curt Schilling is a workhorse and has pitched at least six innings every start this season (heading into Thursday's start). His last outing of less than six was last Sept. 18 in Colorado, when he allowed six runs in five innings. His last non-Coors start of less than six was July 26, 2001 vs. San Francisco -- 35 starts ago.

    Most consecutive starts with at least six innings pitched:

    Curt Schilling, 26
    Mark Redman, 20
    Roy Halladay, 17
    Derek Lowe, 17

  • Randy Johnson, reportedly battling a bad back, was left in to throw 149 pitches in Wednesday's win over Montreal. Arizona led 5-0 entering the ninth inning and Diamondbacks manager Bob Brenly couldn't find a reliever to pitch the final frame, in which Johnson threw 22 pitches? Johnson fanned 15 batters, tying him with Nolan Ryan for 26 career 15-strikeout games.

  • The Cubs are hitting .239 as a team. The last team to finish that poorly? The '92 Mets (.235).

  • The Rockies are hitting .316 at home (first in the majors) and .223 on the road (29th).

  • Most runs created per 27 outs made:

    1. Barry Bonds, 17.32
    2. Larry Walker, 10.83
    3. Jim Edmonds, 10.38
    4. Brian Giles, 10.13
    5. Todd Helton, 9.58
    6. Jim Thome, 9.39
    7. Jason Giambi, 9.30
    8. Mike Sweeney, 9.19
    9. Adam Dunn, 9.05
    10. Alex Rodriguez, 9.01

  • Least runs created per 27 outs (qualified regulars):

    1. Cesar Izturis, 1.80
    2. Neifi Perez, 2.22
    3. Rey Ordonez, 2.43
    4. Aramis Ramirez, 2.62
    5. Vinny Castilla, 2.71
    6. Juan Uribe, 3.06
    7. Brent Abernathy, 3.07
    8. Jeff Cirillo, 3.08
    9. Cristian Guzman, 3.09
    10. Mark Grudzielanek, 3.21






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