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Thursday, June 13
 
Andruw Jones for MVP?

By David Schoenfield
ESPN.com

A look at some numbers while wondering why baseball would make us agonize through a day with only one box score to study:

  • The Braves are 16-4 in their past 20 games, even though sluggers Chipper Jones and Gary Sheffield have combined for just five home runs in the stretch.

    Tom Glavine has gone 5-0 (allowing just four runs in 39 innings), and Andruw Jones has keyed the offense by raising his average from to .261 to .296 while hitting six home runs and knocking in 20 runs.

    Andruw Jones
    Center field
    Atlanta Braves
    Profile
    2002 SEASON STATISTICS
    AB HR RBI R OPS AVG
    247 18 50 44 .972 .296

    In fact, the case could be made that Andruw Jones has been the most valuable player in the National League so far. (Interestingly enough, earlier in the season we were asking if Jones would ever reach his potential.) Consider:

    -- Jones currently ranks 12th in the NL in OPS, he's on pace for 44 home runs and 123 RBI and he's arguably the best defensive center fielder on the planet.

    -- Of the 11 players ahead of him, only three play up-the-middle defensive positions: Jim Edmonds (who has been hurt and has played only 51 games), Junior Spivey and Lance Berkman. However, the latter two are just ahead of Jones in OPS and can't match his defensive excellence.

    -- Jones has played every game. In fact, he has missed only two games the past four seasons.

    -- OK, it's hard to be MVP when Barry Bonds is hitting .355/.574/.825, which means an OPS of 1.399. Which, by the way, is higher than last year's 1.378.

  • The Phillies will have to find a regular job for Jeremy Giambi, now that the DH portion of interleague play has ended. Giambi has a 1.275 OPS in 14 games with Philadelphia. He has drawn 17 walks -- in fact, he has more walks than hits (12) -- to post an on-base percentage of .545.

    The Phillies probably won't be tempted to hit Giambi leadoff, however, like the A's did. Jimmy Rollins has a .340 OBP from the leadoff spot, and while that doesn't seem impressive, the Phillies (mostly Rollins) rank fifth in the NL in leadoff OBP and first in OPS.

    Amazingly, only five NL teams have a leadoff OBP higher than the NL overall average of .330 -- the Marlins (.371), Mets (.350), Dodgers (.348), Cardinals (.348) and Phillies (.340). The AL has done a better job of finding leadoff hitters, as eight teams have bettered the overall league OBP and five teams have an OPS over .800 from the leadoff spot: Yankees (.896), Twins (.887), Mariners (.862), Indians (.825), Red Sox (.820).

  • The Twins' .887 OPS highlights one of this year's most unheralded players: Jacque Jones, who is hitting .312 overall and .316 from the leadoff spot. All 48 of his RBI have come while hitting No. 1, which puts him on pace for 118 RBI. The RBI record for a leadoff hitter is 98, by Nomar Garciaparra in his 1997 rookie campaign.

    Jones has been amazing with runners on base -- .407 with runners on (37-for-91) and .397 with runners in scoring position (25-for-63). Of course, so many RBI means the bottom of the Twins' order has been getting on base. Indeed, the No. 8 hitters (mostly A.J. Pierzynski) have combined for a .346 OBP and .500 slugging percentage, and the No. 9 hitters (Denny Hocking, Luis Rivas, Jay Canizaro) haven't been awful with a .321 OBP.

  • Speaking of underrated, John Olerud continues to be Mr. Quietly Effective for the Mariners. He's riding a 14-game hitting streak that has raised his average from .272 to .301. Olerud ranks 9th in the AL in OPS at .919. According to Baseball Prospectus' Equivalent Average metric, which adjusts for home ballpark, Olerud ranks as the fifth-most effective hitter in the AL (teammate Ichiro is second, with Cleveland's Jim Thome first).

    The Mariners would be wise to move the struggling Bret Boone (.240, anemic .311 OBP) out of the No. 3 hole and slide Olerud up to hit behind Ichiro and Mark McLemore, giving the team three on-base machines at the top of the order.

  • On the opposite spectrum is Mike Hampton, who lost again Wednesday night to drop to 3-8, 6.72. He has more walks than strikeouts (54 to 41) and he can't blame Coors Field this year (8.55 ERA on the road).

    One of the reasons for Hampton's downfall has been a complete inability to retire left-handed hitters: since 1999 (when he won 22 games with the Astros), his average against lefties: .149, .257, .346 and .405 this season.

    Worst signing of all time? The Rockies still have six years and $90 million left on Hampton's $121 million contract.






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